Breaking down the Eagles

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My apologies for not getting to a opponent preview this week. I could give you a dozen different excuses, but I’m going with “my dog ate it.” It was a really great one, too. Instead, I offer you two different previews — one from the guys at Rakes of Mallows and the other from the guys at Blue-Gray Sky. I was actually about to email Bill from Eagle in Atlanta, because I’ve been reading his site in my RSS for a few months, but just as I was about to do it, I noticed he had already done a better Q&A with BGS and it’s much easier to link to an article about Boston College than to actually force myself to think about BC.

Ah… BC. The thorn in the side of Irish fans everywhere, even if it weren’t for the 6 straight wins against the Irish. What to make of this team, that is now coached by Magnum PI Frank Spaziani? Going into this season, it was pretty much assumed that the Eagles would be mediocre, having lost their top two defensive tackles, their All-American middle linebacker to cancer, and having no quarterback to speak of. Yet here’s BC, chugging along at 5-2 after trouncing former coach Tom O’Brien’s NC State Wolfpack and all of a sudden looking like a team that could give Notre Dame all it can handle.

What can the Irish expect? Well, let’s take a look at what BC has done this season, and maybe that’ll help us draw some conclusions.

Week One and Two: Cupcakes for everyone!

The Eagles opened up the season with a cakewalk against Northeastern. Putting Northeastern on the schedule makes Western Michigan look like the ’85 Bears. After the 54-0 blanking by BC, Northeastern has gone on to get beaten by at least double digits to Maine, Youngstown State, Villanova (by 49 points!), Holy Cross, and William & Mary. BC would’ve been better served playing their scout team, and the victory did nothing to settle the QB race between Justin Tuggle and former minor-league farmhand Dave Shinskie. Week two brought the Kent State Golden Flashes, which sounds like a bad pharmaceutical commercial joke. The Eagles scored 24 points in the first half, sprinted out to a 34 point lead after three quarters and both Shinskie and Tuggle continued to split time, neither taking the reins on the job.

Week Three: Reality served cold.

It doesn’t get much uglier for the BC offense. They managed only 4 first downs and 54 total yards for the entire game. The Eagles managed one first down the first 43 minutes of the game — and that was by penalty. Tuggle played his way out of a job going 4 for 20 with 3 interceptions, and Boston College looked like a team that ran went for a leisure jog for the first two weeks of the season instead of playing football games. Going on the road into a hostile environment proved fatal.

Week Four and Five: Building confidence

And now we begin to see the pesky nature of the Eagles. After putting nothing together offensively against Clemson, Spaziani goes to the bullpen (I had to) and starts Shinskie. The 25-year-old freshman responds with a great performance, going 18 of 29 for 228 yards and 3 TD passes, and the Eagles hold on for dear life to win an overtime thriller against Wake Forest. 

Shinskie continued his solid play with another nice day against the Florida State Seminoles, and Montel Harris had his coming out party this season with 25 carries for 179 yards including a long touchdown run in the 4th quarter after the Seminoles had charged back to tie the game. It’s tough to say anything negative about a win against Florida State, but for the 2nd week in a row the Eagles let an opponent get back into a game that was in hand (sound familiar, Irish fans?) before pulling it out.

Week Six: Falling off the horse

It’s tough to find any positives about BC’s performance in Blacksburg. The Hokies were up 34-0 at halftime, and once again the Eagle offense looked punchless, managing only two first downs and 28 yards through 3 quarters. Shinkie went 1 for 12 throwing the ball before being pulled for freshman quarterback Mike Marscovetra, and Bud Foster’s V-Tech defense strangled both the running and passing attack of Boston College, only giving up yardage once the game was well in hand in the 4th.

Week Seven: Getting back up

The Jekyll and Hyde nature of the Eagles offense brought good things last week for Boston College as Montel Harris ran for over 100 yards in the first half and a record-breaking 264 for the day. Shinksie played an efficient game, and the passing game got a few big plays as well, racking up 480 total yards of offense and forcing three turnovers.

So where does that get us?

Boston College has played three good/decent teams, and they’ve been dominated by two of them. (I’m calling Wake Forest good, just for the sake of doing it.) Their victory over NC State could look impressive, but taking a closer look at the Wolfpack, you’ll see that they’ve managed to beat Pitt and… well, that’s about it.

Yet here’s what we know about the Irish. They have an ability to play to their opponents level pretty regularly and have managed to make every quarterback they’ve played (with the exception of Colin Kaepernick) look like an All-American. Quite literally. The past five passers Notre Dame has faced put up a QB efficiency rating of 146.30, nearly 10 full points better than Colt McCoy. The 8.5 yards per attempt these QBs are putting up against the woeful Irish passing defense would be good for 13th in the country, meaning we’re much more likely to see the Shinskie that rates 150.49 at home than the Shinskie that has a negative -11 QB rating on the road, even if Notre Dame stadium is 890 miles away from the friendly confines of Chestnut Hill.

What should we expect this week? A relatively easy victory by a Notre Dame football team that’s in a different class than the undermanned Boston College Eagles. Yet we could say that nearly every year, and Notre Dame fans know where that’s gotten them over the past twenty or so years. Still, Jon Tenuta has a great knowledge of both head coach Frank Spaziani and offensive coordinator Gary Tranquill, so you’d hope that the defensive troops would be well-informed on what their opponents are going to do. Still, it’s hard not to think that the Irish will be coming out flat, and if you look at the discussion this week around the net, there’s still a visible hangover from the deflating loss to the Trojans last weekend.

But if the Irish can’t get up for a game against Boston College, who can they get up for? And while we’ve got no idea what kind of team the Eagles have, any time you’ve got a running back that’s putting up numbers like Montel Harris, and a quarterback with full use of his throwing arm, you’ll have to hold your breath and see what happens come Saturday. 

Ronnie Stanley and Will Fuller taken in first round of NFL Draft

CHICAGO, IL - APRIL 28:  Ronnie Stanley of Notre Dame holds up a jersey with NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell after being picked #6 overall by the Baltimore Ravens during the first round of the 2016 NFL Draft at the Auditorium Theatre of Roosevelt University on April 28, 2016 in Chicago, Illinois.  (Photo by Jon Durr/Getty Images)
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Ronnie Stanley and Will Fuller were taken in the NFL Draft’s first round. Both came off the board on night one, with Stanley the first offensive tackle taken and Fuller the second receiver selected.

Stanley joins the Baltimore Ravens, a key addition to a franchise needed help along the offensive line. He’s Notre Dame’s first Top 10 pick since 1994, ending a draught that’s spanned since Bryant Young was taken by San Francisco.

Fuller will join a Houston Texans offense that just spent major money on quarterback Brock Osweiler and running back Lamar Miller. To back up that investment, the Texans added college football’s most dangerous deep threat, trading up to spot No. 21 to pair Fuller with DeAndre Hopkins on the outside.

Linebacker Jaylon Smith was not selected in the first round. Both he and Myles Jack, widely considered to be Top 10 talents, slid down the board because of knee injuries. (Both also have loss-of-value insurance policies, cushioning that blow.)

The draft continues tomorrow with rounds two and three. Smith should be selected then, along with Sheldon Day, Nick Martin, and potentially C.J. Prosise.

Demetris Robertson set for Sunday decision (finally!)

Demetris Robertson
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Five-star recruit Demetris Robertson is ready to make a college decision. Finally.

Months after National Signing Day, the last recruit on the board for Notre Dame is ready to pick the place he plans to go to college. And after setting an announcement date for Monday, Robertson is even pushing things forward, with a Sunday decision now in the books.

For Irish fans still paying attention to the twists and turns of this recruitment, Robertson will announce his decision from the College Football Hall of Fame in downtown Atlanta. (An homage to Jimmy Clausen, anyone?)

Here’s Rivals.com with the news after talking with Robertson’s brother and guardian.

“We were going to have it on Monday, but things got mixed up so we moved it up a day,” Carlos Robertson said. “It will be at 1 p.m., right there in that 1-2 time frame, somewhere in there.”

But it’s happening.

“His mind’s made up,” Carlos Robertson said. “Everything’s locked, but he wanted to have it, have a little public deal, but I think he knows where he wants to be.”

Robertson also cleared up why the decision is being held in Atlanta.

“We’re not from Savannah, we’re actually from right below the Atlanta area, so it will give everybody, the aunts, the uncles, everybody a chance to come,” he said. “It only made sense.”

While this recruitment has felt like a soap opera, it’s worth pointing out that there’s absolutely no reason to fault Robertson for making this decision on a timeline that he decides. National Signing Day may feel like a holiday to college football fans, but it’s really just the earliest date a letter-of-intent can be signed.

With hopes of gaining admittance into Stanford, Robertson reportedly retook his ACT multiple times, trying to make a better score. Usually that’s cause for applause, not derision. He’s also spent time further evaluating his other options, some closer to home—Georgia, Alabama—others with a significant academic profile—Cal and Notre Dame among them.

The Irish’s pursuit of Robertson has been well documented, including a visit from the team semi-truck. It’s also a recruitment where most are still in the dark. While Notre Dame is certainly still in the running, there’s no gut feeling on this one way or the other, even among those inside the program.

After averaging 15 points a game as a guard for the Savannah Christian basketball team, Robertson is preparing to compete in the state track meet, running multiple sprint events and the long jump. That type of athleticism is what has the Irish coaching staff sold on Robertson as a wide receiver, a potential replacement for Will Fuller (and two other starters) as Notre Dame restocks a depth chart that’ll also feature spring star Kevin Stepherson and incoming freshmen Chase Claypool and Javon McKinley.

With some feeling home state Georgia has moved ahead in the race, Robertson’s brother Carlos says his younger brother did what was best for him, taking his time and making a decision for himself.

“It was totally his decision, lock himself in the room, however he had to do it. This was something he had to decide on his own,” the elder Robertson told Rivals.com.

 

 

For Irish, best work will be behind closed doors

BUFFALO, NY - SEPTEMBER 12:  Head Coach Jeff Quinn of the Buffalo Bulls looks on during the game against the Baylor Bears at UB Stadium on September 12, 2014 in Buffalo, New York.  (Photo by Vaughn Ridley/Getty Images)
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With spring practice finished and the end of the school year in sight, Brian Kelly’s team enters the all-important offseason—a time when the best work goes unseen by the coaching staff. On a squad where the lion’s share of leaders and starters need to be replaced, Kelly’s talked about the identity of this team forming when he and his assistants get out of the mix.

“We need to get the heck out of the way, in a sense, and allow those guys to step up and be leaders within their units,” Kelly said after the spring game. “And that naturally happens when the coaches get out of the way. Especially in May. They go home, they recharge, they kind of assess where they are and they hear it from us and they come back in June and they are focused on physical development and then the leadership element and they go to work on it.”

One of the storylines that’s gone mostly ignored are the changes to the group in charge of the team while the staff is getting out of the way. While Director of strength and conditioning Paul Longo has long held a premier role atop the ever-evolving org chart under Brian Kelly, the players beneath him have changed. That creates an interesting dynamic this offseason—and possibly one that could actually benefit the Irish in the months to come.

Entering his seventh season at Notre Dame along side Kelly, Longo has worked hand in hand with Kelly since his time at Central Michigan. That relationship is likely why Longo’s been more out front than any strength coach at Notre Dame in the modern era.

 

Treated as a coordinator—and actually listed above Mike Denbrock, Brian VanGorder and Mike Sanford on the team’s online roster—we’re heard plenty in seven years of Longo, riding the greatest hits through the “Coat of Armor” era all the way into today’s injury prevention mode.

But Longo’s work this offseason will be aided by an evolving group of assistants in the strength department. Aaron Wellman is gone, the former Michigan strength coach now running the New York Giants’ program. That led to an unorthodox hire by Kelly to fill his shoes, though a telling decision as a young team prepares to ascend into new jobs.

New assistant strength coach Jeff Quinn was an unlikely hire, especially considering his 30 years of coaching experience at the college level. After spending last season as an offensive analyst, Quinn transitions to the strength staff seems like a bizarre new role for a man many viewed as Kelly’s most important assistant in his pre-Notre Dame days.

Quinn last roamed the sidelines at Buffalo, a head coaching position he took over in 2010, a move he made instead of joining Kelly at Notre Dame after serving as Cincinnati’s offensive coordinator. Even though he signed a five-year extension at the close of the 2012 season, Quinn was fired early in the 2014 season after a disappointing start to the year. (An open-records request revealed that Buffalo is still paying Quinn, likely supplementing his decreased earnings as an off-field staffer in South Bend.)

Kelly provided a soft landing for Quinn last year, even if he didn’t fill one of the on-staff openings that reshuffled after Tony Alford, Kerry Cooks and Bob Elliott left the ranks. And while many expected that keeping Quinn in a supporting role wasn’t as likely through another hiring cycle, the move of the trusted lieutenant to the strength staff keeps another asset under Kelly’s control, even if it begs questions about long-term sustainability.

But adding Quinn to a football-specific strength staff makes sense. It’s a role that already has David Grimes, a former Irish captain and wide receiver and continues to  feature assistant director of strength Jake Flint, who played under Kelly at Central Michigan, earning a scholarship after walking on. That’s a lot of practical football knowledge under one roof, certainly helpful as the offseason focus becomes less and less about leg press and bench press, but more and more about enhancing the knowledge base and athletic skill-set for a young team with plenty of ambition.

So as the Irish coaching staff finally finds time to step away from the 24/7 grind, they’ll be turning over their young team to Longo and his department. And as we’ve seen as Kelly and Jack Swarbrick continue to outfit the Irish program to compete in today’s landscape, these under-the-radar moves should likely pay dividends.

 

 

Draft Day is near: Final projections for talented Irish class

INDIANAPOLIS, IN - FEBRUARY 27: Wide receiver Will Fuller of Notre Dame participates in a drill during the 2016 NFL Scouting Combine at Lucas Oil Stadium on February 27, 2016 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images)
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Draft week is finally (almost) here. A football holiday that both college and NFL fans can love equally, it also marks the end of nearly four months of talking heads and manufactured debate, the end of the virtual rise and fall of player stocks with the evaluation and prognosticating industry turning everybody into an expert capable of evaluating their favorite team’s haul.

With Notre Dame poised to send their largest class to the NFL since the heyday of Lou Holtz, it’ll be a busy weekend for Irish fans. Let’s kick off draft week with a look at some of the potential homes for this group of talented former Irish athletes.

 

First Rounders:

Both Cris Collinsworth and Peter King expect Ronnie Stanley and Will Fuller to go in the first round. Stanley is a consensus first-rounder, with King seeing the Cleveland Browns pulling the trigger on Stanley at No. 8 and Collinsworth having Stanley staying close to school with the Bears at No. 11. While some speculate that the Chargers could be willing to jump at Stanley at No. 3 (picking him before top-of-the-board tackle Laremy Tunsil), most see Stanley off the board somewhere between eight and 16. Not shabby—back-to-back first round left tackles with Mike McGlinchey trending in the right direction as well.

But the inclusion of Fuller on both these lists is interesting, though maybe not for Collinsworth, who has seen three seasons of Fuller (and heard from his sons quite a bit as well). Collinsworth has Fuller going to the Cincinnati Bengals, a team he knows plenty about. King has the Houston Texans taking a swing at Fuller, pairing him with standout DeAndre Hopkins. It’d certainly be a nice addition for Bill O’Brien and new zillion-dollar quarterback Brock Osweiler.

While quite a few thing Fuller will slide into round two or three, it’s interesting that NFL.com’s experts Daniel Jeremiah, Charley Casserly, Charles Davis and Lance Zierlein all have Fuller picked in the first round.

(Can’t teach 4.32 or 29 touchdowns.)

 

Top 100 prospects

Perhaps the most impressive thing out there involving Notre Dame’s talent is Mike Mayock’s Top 100. No stranger to Brian Kelly’s program, Mayock has six players in his top 100:

4. Ronnie Stanley
34. Will Fuller
38. Nick Martin
61. Sheldon Day
81. KeiVarae Russell
97. Jaylon Smith

If Smith is around that close to No. 100 he’ll be $5 million richer (thanks to his insurance policy) and he’ll also have many a teams ready to gamble on a talent who was among the five best players in college football but is currently just 3.5 months into a grueling recovery process.

Sheldon Day has found his way into first rounds in some mock drafts, mostly thanks to his incredibly productive senior season. That Russell is at 81 speaks to the talent some think he has, though last year’s game tape doesn’t necessarily match. Mostly I just can’t get over Smith at 97. What devastatingly terrible timing for the Irish All-American—who I’m convinced will have a Pro Bowl career at the next level.

 

Can Notre Dame get to 10 players drafted? 

A look back at Notre Dame’s history in the NFL Draft tells you one thing for certain: Lou Holtz developed a ton of NFL talent. But Brian Kelly has a chance to put a really impressive class on the board with the 2016 draft, and if the Irish are lucky they could match the double-digits Holtz hit in 1994.

How does that happen? It likely comes down to not just the six listed above, but rather the depth that seems to be the strength of this group.

While Mayock didn’t have C.J. Prosise in his Top 100, there are plenty of evaluators who see something special in Prosise’s game. While returns on him vary, I think it’s safe to say he’ll be drafted—likely by the middle rounds.

From there, getting Chris Brown drafted will be key. His physical traits are another positive, even if his production on the field only blossomed as a senior as the No. 2 option. Then it’s sack-leader Romeo Okwara. The combo defensive end-outside linebacker has a lot going for him in the eyes of talent evaluators—youth (he’s still not 21), not to mention a wide range of skills. He doesn’t flash as an edge rusher, but those years stuck playing as a Dog linebacker for Bob Diaco will do him well now.

Ultimately, to get to ten something good needs to happen near the bottom of the draft. Will a team find safety Elijah Shumate worthy of a draft pick? Perhaps Matthias Farley, fresh off a very impressive Pro Day. Perhaps there’s a team that fell in love with Ishaq Williams, hoping to get a jump on free agency by spending a late round pick on a physical freak who hasn’t played football in two seasons. Jarrett Grace and Amir Carlisle will certainly get their chance to sign with a team before training camp comes around, but it’s a long shot either hears their name called.

It looks like the Irish will probably fall just short of 10 draftees. Unless someone takes a run at quarterback Everett Golson, opening up an asterisk situation if there ever was one.

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John Walters and I discussed Notre Dame’s draft prospects—and a lot, lot more—in our Blown Coverage podcast. Feel free to enjoy.