Opponent preview: Michigan Wolverines

8 Comments

This is the second of many opponent previews, leading us into the opening week of the season. Suggestions and comments are welcome. For part one, please check out the Purdue preview.

The Overview:

While there’s obvious anticipation for the opening game against Purdue, there’s no game that the Irish should look forward to more than the September 11th date with Michigan. Entering his third season in Ann Arbor, head coach Rich Rodriguez is a woeful 8-16 coaching the Wolverines, whose faithful have become largely split on the future of the head coach. While last season started with a perfect September and a national ranking, the Wolverines won only once after September 26th, beating Delaware State in mid-October for their fifth and final win, finishing 1-7 in conference and without a bowl bid for the second straight season.

Last time against the Irish:

There is no loss that eats at the stomach of Notre Dame fans more than the 38-34 defeat at the hands of the Wolverines in Ann Arbor. With just over three minutes left, and clinging to a 34-31 lead, the Irish opted to throw the ball on second and third down, missing on both attempts and allowing Michigan to preserve two timeouts and precious time on the clock. After a 29 yard Eric Maust punt, freshman Tate Forcier drove nine plays, using both timeouts before throwing the winning touchdown pass with 11 seconds left to bury the 18th ranked Irish.

Irish fans will point to a controversial overturn on an Armando Allen touchdown and some off-balanced Big Ten officiating, but even 490 yards of offense, 100 yard days for Allen, Michael Floyd, and Golden Tate, and 336 yards of passing from Jimmy Clausen couldn’t keep the Irish from giving away the football game, thanks to anemic defense and mediocre special teams.

Said head coach Charlie Weis after the game:

“I watched that tape a hundred times this morning, okay?
Just like when I watched it when it happened, just like their two guys
that were standing right on top of the play when it happened. From what
I understand, the TV copy on top of it, I still haven’t heard anyone
tell me there’s any evidence of Armando stepping out of bounds.
The way I thought the rule is supposed to be, it’s supposed to be
conclusive evidence. I’m perturbed at that call.”

Degree of Difficulty:

Of the 12 opponents, I rank  Michigan as the fourth most difficult on the schedule. I could make the argument that they’re anywhere from the second toughest to the eighth toughest, but there’s an aura attached to the maize and blue, and after last season’s upset defeat, you never know what might happen.

The Match-up:

It’s tough to gauge what’s coming out of the opposing locker room when the Wolverines face-off with the Irish on September 11. Michigan played horrific football down the stretch, free-falling after a promising 4-0 start. Offensively, Michigan returns just about every contributor from 2009, on a team that racked up 430 yards against the Irish defense. Whether or not last year’s hero, quarterback Tate Forcier plays over Denard Robinson is likely the major question for the Wolverines offensively, with the dynamic Robinson making strides in his passing game this offseason. Rodriguez has endured growing pains through two years as he has worked to recruit more speed onto his roster. Whether or not those players flourish in year three will likely determine his fate.

On defense, the Wolverines lose their best player in Brandon Graham, the disruptive pass rusher that went in the first round of the NFL draft. They look to freshman All-American Craig Roh to potentially fill his spot at DE, shifting down from outside linebacker. There is promise along the front line for the Wolverines in former blue-chipper Will Campbell and one-time Irish recruiting target Mike Martin, but the learning curve is steep for this group. Of real concern is the shaky Wolverine secondary, that’s been bludgeoned recently by transfer (J.T. Turner) and injury (Troy Woolfolk). If Michigan plans on stopping Michael Floyd and Kyle Rudolph, they’ll do so with untested underclassmen and DBs that struggled mightily last season. 

How the Irish will win:

With a front-seven that graduated its best pass rushers and a secondary that belongs on the back of a milk carton, the Irish should have a field day throwing all over a Wolverine defense that can do little to slow Notre Dame’s numerous offensive weapons. The transition back to a 3-4 defense, along with a quick start for the Irish offense, will force Tate Forcier and Denard Robinson into throwing almost exclusively, a bad recipe for success with Bob Diaco’s pressure system confusing an offensive line that struggled last season. 

How the Wolverines will win:

If the Irish did anything well last year on defense, it was making opposing offenses look good. And after a third year learning Rich Rodriguez’s system, the Wolverines won’t need nearly as much help. Tackling mobile quarterbacks in space will once again be the Irish’s achilles heel, and both Tate Forcier and Denard Robinson will make big plays, getting the Irish to play another shoot out that’s decided down the stretch. While Michigan’s defensive coordinator Greg Robinson has been chastised, he’s beaten Notre Dame the past two times he faced them — once as the head coach of Syracuse in 2008, and running the Wolverines defense in 2009. The 80,000-plus that showed up to watch the Irish avenge last season’s mind-blowing loss will feel more of the same if the Irish can’t solve Michigan’s spread attack.

Gut Feeling:

There was nobody more surprised than I was last year when Michigan escaped the Big House with a 38-34 victory. While everybody in the locker room’s focus is on Purdue, there’s no doubt that the game against Michigan is the biggest for the Irish this season. With the advantage of practicing every day against an offense that’s similar to the one directed by Rich Rodriguez, and Michigan’s desperate situation in the secondary, I expect the Irish to exorcise some demons.

Restocking the roster: Wide Receivers

Notre Dame v Florida State
Getty
12 Comments

Some believe that the best way to look at recruiting is in two-year increments. As programs rebuild and rosters turn over, covering the needs of a football team over two recruiting cycles  allows a coaching staff to balance its roster.

That balance is critical to the health of a program. And it’s not just the work of a rebuilding coach. As we saw in Brian Kelly’s sixth season, injuries, attrition and scheme change impacted the defense, especially in the secondary.

Another position set to deal with major change is wide receiver. Gone is All-American Will Fuller, departing South Bend after three years, scoring 29 touchdowns over the past two seasons. He’ll look to run his way into the first round of the NFL Draft. Also gone are veterans Chris Brown and Amir Carlisle, putting the Irish in an unenviable position, needing to replace the team’s three leading receivers.

Reinforcements aren’t just on the way, they’re already on campus. While there’s not a ton of production to see, the recruiting stockpile has created a chance to reload for Mike Denbrock’s troop. So let’s take a look at the additions and subtractions on the roster, analyzing the two-year recruiting run as we restock the receiving corps.

DEPARTURES
Will Fuller
, Jr. (62 catches, 1,258 yards, 14 TDs)
Chris Brown, Sr. (48 catches, 597 yards, 4 TDs)
Amir Carlisle, GS (32 catches, 355 yards, 1 TD)
Jalen Guyton, Fr. (transfer)

 

2015-16 ADDITIONS
Equanimeous St. Brown

Miles Boykin*
CJ Sanders
Jalen Guyton
Chase Claypool*
Javon McKinley*
Kevin Stepherson*

 

PRE-SPRING DEPTH CHART
Corey Robinson, Sr.
Torii Hunter, Sr.*
Justin Brent, Jr.*
Corey Holmes, Jr.*
CJ Sanders, Soph.
Miles Boykin, Soph.*
Equanimeous St. Brown, Soph.
Kevin Stepherson, Fr.*

 

ANALYSIS
Brian Kelly expects St. Brown to step into Will Fuller’s shoes. If the Irish are able to pluck another sophomore from obscurity to the national spotlight, it’ll say quite a bit about the depth and productivity the Irish staff has built at the position. At 6-foot-5, St. Brown has a more tantalizing skill-set than Fuller—and he was a national recruit out of a Southern California powerhouse. But until we see St. Brown burn past defenders and make big plays, assuming the Irish won’t miss Fuller is a big leap of faith.

The next objective of the spring is getting Corey Robinson back on track. The rising senior had a forgettable junior season, ruined by injuries and some bruised confidence. A player who has shown flashes of brilliance during his three seasons in South Bend, the time is now for Robinson, not just as a performer but as an on-field leader.

Torii Hunter Jr. is also poised for a big season. After finding reps at slot receiver and possessing the versatility to see the field from multiple spots, Hunter needs to prove in 2016 that he’s not just a utility man but an everyday starter. His hands, smooth athleticism and speed should have him primed for a breakout. But Hunter might not want to stay in the slot if CJ Sanders is ready to take over. After a big freshman season on special teams, Sanders looks ready to make his move into the lineup, perhaps the purest slot receiver Brian Kelly has had since he arrived in South Bend.

The rest of the spring depth chart should have modest goals, though all face rather critical offseasons. Justin Brent is three years into his college career and the biggest headlines he’s made have been off the field. Whether he sticks at receiver or continues to work as a reserve running back remains to be seen. Corey Holmes is another upperclassman who we still can’t figure out. Will he ascend into the rotation with the top three veterans gone, or will he give way to some talented youngsters?

Miles Boykin earned praise last August, but it didn’t get him time on the field. He’ll enter spring with four years of eligibility, same as early-enrollee Kevin Stepherson. The Irish staff thinks Stepherson has the type of deep speed that they covet, capable of running past cornerbacks and stretching a defense. Boykin has size and physicality that could present intriguing options for an offense that’ll be less reliant on one man now that Fuller is gone.

Live Video Mailbag: 40-year decision, more BVG, freshmen and more

BVG
28 Comments

We’ve done plenty of mailbags, but this is our first shot at a Live Video Mailbag. This should be a better way to answer more questions and hopefully interact with a few of you as we try to work off some of yesterday’s Super Bowl snacks.

Topics on the list: The 40-year decision, more Brian VanGorder talk, the incoming (and redshirt) freshmen and a whole lot more.

***

Kelly and Swarbrick turn attention to science of injury prevention

os-notre-dame-ad-pleased-acc-move-20140513-001
Getty
11 Comments

Amidst the chaos of their live Signing Day show, UND.com ran had a far-reaching interview with head coach Brian Kelly. It was conducted by his boss, athletic director Jack Swarbrick, and his former team captain, Joe Schmidt.

So while there was a little bit of talk about the 23 recruits who signed their national letters-of-intent, there was also a very illuminating exchange on an issue that’s really plagued the Irish the past few seasons: Injuries.

Football is a dangerous game. And for as long as people play it, there’ll be impactful injuries that take players off the field. But as Notre Dame settles into what looks like their longest run of stability since the Holtz era, the focus of Kelly and Swarbrick has moved past modernizing the team’s medical services, strength program and nutrition and onto the science of injury prevention.

Here’s what Kelly said about the efforts currently taking shape:

“I think the science piece is very important, because no longer is it just about strength and conditioning,  it’s about durability. It’s the ability to continue to play at an optimal level but also with the rigors of a college schedule, and particularly here at Notre Dame, how do we maximize the time but maximizing getting the most out of our student-athletes and not lose them?

“As you know, we’ve had a couple years here in a rough stretch of injuries. And how do we have an injury prevention protocol that brings in the very best science? You’ve done a great job of reaching out in getting us those kind of resources. so I think tapping into that is probably the next piece. As well as providing the resources for our student-athletes. Continuing to look at facilities. Continuing to give our student-athletes maybe that little edge. Because everybody’s got 85 scholarships.”

It’s clear that the issue is one that’s on the radar for not just Kelly, but the athletic administration. So it’ll be interesting to see some of the steps taken as the program begins investing time and additional resources to an issue that’s really hit the Irish hard the past few seasons.

There’s plenty of other good stuff in the 13-minute interview, so give it a watch.