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Five things we'll learn: Keys to the Irish season

Sep 1, 2010, 11:30 PM EST

In the nine months that have passed since the Notre Dame Fighting Irish last played a meaningful football game, Irish fans have done a lot of heavy thinking.

They just watched one of their own fail. A coach that dazzled the Irish faithful with his Super Bowl wins and unprecedented offensive fireworks. He found early success with recruits from a regime long thought mediocre at procuring high-level talent, but then failed when he brought in his own players, blue-chippers that competed annually for mythical national recruiting titles.

This one stung. Notre Dame Nation had just done all it could to get the last guy run out of town after three years. Even he started with a bang, riding an opportunistic defense and a recharged fanbase to a top-five ranking and eight consecutive wins to start his tenure, the Coach of the Year trophies and Sports Illustrated covers now sit covered in dust next to an old set of golf clubs.

(Let’s not even get into the guy before him. He never made it to his first practice, learning first-hand that while Student Affairs may be tough on students who are caught turning in a paper that’s less than truthful, the administration has even less leeway for coaches that may play a little loose with their CV.)

And so Irish fans sit, 13 years since Lou Holtz roamed the sidelines, having played in only eight bowl games and three BCS bowls, walking away with a lone victory against Hawaii on Christmas Eve, 2008. It’s been 17 years since Irish fans could even complain about getting truly worked over, when the Irish beat the eventual national champs head-to-head in November. (But even then they had themselves to blame after giving away the title to Boston College a week after ascending to No. 1.)

Fast forward to today. The New Guy. Brian Kelly. Named head coach of the Irish on Dec. 10, he’s gone undefeated since then, navigating effortlessly through the media obligations, his first recruiting class, some 180 speaking engagements, fifteen spring practices, and his first fall camp. He’s everything the last few guys haven’t been. Unfortunately, on Saturday against Purdue, there’s a good chance he could turn into the rest of them.

He’ll actually have to coach a game.

Heading into Saturday’s season opener against the visiting Boilermakers on Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET on NBC, here’s five things we’ll learn about the Irish, Kelly, and the state of Notre Dame football:

1. Brian Kelly has the experience needed to succeed at Notre Dame.

As we’ve learned from the Charlie Weis and Tryone Willingham, starting fast doesn’t necessarily mean you’re on the road to greatness. Nor does starting slow — Lou Holtz was only 13-10 after two seasons, including a 5-6 season that matched the final year of Gerry Faust. But Holtz had the experience needed to succeed at Notre Dame, he had already made stops at major college programs like Arkansas and Minnesota. In the last 50 years, the only Notre Dame head coaches to have had multiple D-I jobs are Ara Parseghian, Dan Devine, and Lou Holtz. All three won national championships.

Kelly himself conceded he wouldn’t be ready if Notre Dame was his first stop.

“I could not do it. I could not do it. I learn something every day,” Kelly said last week. “I learn about press conferences and what I should say and what I shouldn’t say. It’s a learning experience. To have 20 years just to be able to function, I could not have done the job without that experience.”

One final tidbit that should have Irish fans feeling confident: Kelly’s 23-3 mark in the last two seasons at Cincinnati is the best two-year run by an incoming head coach since Frank Leahy came from Boston College in 1941.

None of this guarantees he’ll wake up the echoes, but at the very least he’ll know what to do if he finds them.

2. The defense will determine whether the Irish make a BCS run.

Charlie Weis likely sealed his own fate when he replaced Corwin Brown’s 3-4 system with the blitzing attack of Jon Tenuta. While Brown’s troops only played average football, under Tenuta the defense fell apart, giving up back-breaking big plays and blowing critical assignments.

Now defensive coordinator Bob Diaco is tasked with turning a defense returning most of the same players into an outfit worthy of its rallying cry: B.I.A. Best in America.  The talent is there to back up the seemingly preposterous statement. Notre Dame’s two-deep depth chart is littered with top-notch talent, every bit as strong as the units at Alabama, TCU or Texas.

Nearly every player in the depth chart was a four-star recruit, and as the Wall Street Journal pointed out last week, Notre Dame’s projected starters have the third-highest recruiting rankings in the country, trailing only USC and Florida. Better yet, most were recruited to play in the same 3-4 scheme that Diaco employs. Part of the offseason was spent rebuilding the psyches of some players that were left gun-shy after a terrible season. If Diaco can turn this group of talented players around, expect him to be running his own program soon.

3. The Notre Dame offense depends on the health of Dayne Crist.

While the “Next Man In” philosophy is a key tenet of Brian Kelly’s belief system, the head coach is tweaking his rules when it comes to starting quarterback Dayne Crist. While Crist has only thrown 20 passes in his college career, behind him the Irish are looking at true freshman Tommy Rees and former walk-on quarterback Nate Montana. With Crist only 10 months removed from a torn ACL, Kelly is playing a delicate balancing act with his junior quarterback.

“Dayne Crist is a guy who is going to have to use all of his tools,” Kelly said. “He’s a pretty good athlete. He can run as well and he can extend plays. He’s going to get hit out there. But we’re not going to put him in a position where we get running hits on our quarterback. That’s just not smart.”

The physical ability of Crist has never been questioned, and nobody inside the program would be surprised if he leaves Notre Dame drafted higher than Jimmy Clausen. But for Notre Dame to win now, they’ll need to keep the quarterback healthy.

4. If the offensive line can hold up, Notre Dame will dominate with its running game.

Many assumed the implementation of the spread offense meant throwing the ball a majority of the time. But if you look back at the history of Brian Kelly’s offense, you’ll see that he’s kept a run-pass balance that purists would find refreshing. At Central Michigan, Kelly ran the ball nearly 53-percent of the time. At Cincinnati, that number was 48-percent.  

“It’s a misnomer that with the spread you’re going to throw the ball every down,” offensive coordinator Charley Molnar said. “If we can get the defense in the looks where we like to run the football, where they’re really trying to play coverage, we’ll create running lanes for our running backs that would be no different than what you would get in a conventional offense.”

More importantly, the Irish will depend on the run to keep its relatively youthful offensive line protected, leaning on the zone running system that Kelly and Molnar have utilized as well as the expertise of line coach Ed Warinner to protect Zack Martin and Taylor Dever, two tackles starting their first games on Saturday.

Armando Allen, Cierre Wood, Robert Hughes and Jonas Gray are the most talented backfield the Irish have had since the Holtz era. The Notre Dame rushing attack took a backseat during the Charlie Weis era, as the team’s finesse style struggled to create an even average ground attack. Expect that to change under Kelly, where explosive running plays from the spread could bring back memories of Reggie Brooks and Tony Rice breaking free in the second
ary.

5. The i
dentity of Notre Dame football has changed for the better.

Even if the 2010 season doesn’t go as well as many Irish fans hope, there’s still plenty of reason to believe that the Irish football program has changed for the better. New strength and conditioning coach Paul Longo has implemented a program that made incredible gains to a roster that consistently faltered in November. Athletic director Jack Swarbrick worked with Kelly to institute a training table, catching the Irish up in a dietary arms race that Notre Dame has been lagging behind in for years. And Kelly re-energized the Notre Dame community, meeting with professors, deans, and students in ways that Charlie Weis never made time to do. Kelly didn’t need to make 180 stops in 180 days this offseason, but he understands better than any coach that’s been at Notre Dame since Lou Holtz that being an ambassador at award dinners, fund-raisers and golf outings is part of the job as well.

While Weis touted a schematic advantage, Kelly might also better him on the field immediately by installing a frenetically-paced, no-huddle spread attack that will wear down teams with their conditioning and precision. While Weis reveled in outsmarting his opponents, Kelly plans on out-hustling his opponents with smart players, a change that could pay immediate dividends.

The days of Brian Kelly being perfect end this Saturday. But even if he’ll never be, Notre Dame fans can at least find hope in the new beginning.

  1. Dean - Sep 2, 2010 at 2:17 AM

    With all due respect to the Rock over at ND nation, this has been the best write up on the coming season. Thanks Keith for the posts.

  2. Art Vandelay - Sep 2, 2010 at 7:54 AM

    Thanks, Keith…can’t wait for Sat. I think our running game will explode this season. If defenses start to double up on Floyd, Rudolph, Riddick or Jones, plenty of lanes will open up for Allen and Wood. Can’t wait to see them pound it out. I haven’t seen this team play 1 down yet, but already know I’ll take this over a decided schematic advantage any day,

  3. terry - Sep 2, 2010 at 10:07 AM

    Coach Kelly has been coaching for about 19 seasons. He has had a winning record in all but one of those seasons. Since he came to ND he has done all the right things and said all the right things.
    Is he ready for the big time? I think he is.
    Step one is respect from your opponents, which the Irish have lost over the years.
    Step two is FEAR – As in “Oh s…! We’ve got to play Notre Dame next week!”
    Besides – Grace Kelly will be at the game – how can they lose?
    38-10

  4. Patrick - Sep 2, 2010 at 10:33 AM

    “He found early success with recruits from a regime long thought mediocre at procuring high-level talent…”
    Tom Lemming described Willingham’s last 2 recruiting classes, as “perhaps the worst in Notre Dame’s history.” In his 3rd and 4th year, Weis was forced to play/start mostly freshman and sophmores and that is not the normal, nor ideal way to develop players, no matter how good they are.
    I know Weis had to go, but I think things would have been different had he had some traditional ND talent in the mix during those seasons. Much like Lou did, during his early tenure.
    http://www.ProjectSycamore.com

  5. Ray McConaghy - Sep 2, 2010 at 10:54 AM

    Last year Cincinnati ran fewer offensive plays in 13 games (833)than Notre Dame did in 12 (848). It outscored its opponents by more points in the first (54), second (71), and third (40) quarters than it did in the fourth (37). It averaged a touchdown every 12.6 offensive plays, the most productive of any school that I have sampled. In contrast Notre Dame averaged a touchdown every 19.3 offensive plays; BCS national champion Alabama, every 18.2 offensive plays. Brian Kelly’s offense worked last year more by shock and awe in the first half than it did by dominance and superior energy in the fourth quarter. I address these points in my post yesterday at http://www.ndfantofan.com. All are invited.

  6. maxwell - Sep 2, 2010 at 11:01 AM

    Excellent summary and analysis! Can’t wait to see what this season has to offer on both sides of the ball..Go Irish!

  7. Pete V - Sep 2, 2010 at 2:17 PM

    Holtz might not have won them all his first year but I sure as hell liked what I saw on the field. They looked good even when they lost.
    I remember after winning our fifth game under Willinham I turned to my son and said “We might be winning but I don’t like how we are doing it.” THAT’s the difference between the two coaches.

  8. Erik '04 - Sep 2, 2010 at 2:22 PM

    Good analysis, Ray. Could you tell how many of those early leads led to more ball control in the 4th quarter to burn out the clock? I imagine if the team is up by 30 in the 4th, Coach Kelly won’t be looking to score in under two minutes like he is in the first quarter.

  9. Jason Wilson - Sep 2, 2010 at 2:58 PM

    “Kelly plans on out-hustling his opponents with smart players…” It would be an interesting analysis to see whether “smarts” could be turned into a competitive weapon by looking at all schools running the no huddle and evaluating whether a school’s academic ranking (or the average player’s SAT score) correlates to their performance on the field.

  10. WES HOLTZ - Sep 2, 2010 at 3:03 PM

    LETS GET IT ON.GO IRISH

  11. ourlady$ - Sep 2, 2010 at 3:56 PM

    This is the most anticipated season ever since Ara. ! Keith, Tell you friends at NBC to play “Here come the Irish” as they come out of the tunnel.
    WE ARE THE FIGHTING IRISH!

  12. Ronob - Sep 2, 2010 at 9:37 PM

    No one has said it better.
    WE ARE THE FIGHTING IRISH!

  13. Chucket - Sep 3, 2010 at 12:02 AM

    About the Defense Team rallying cry: Best In America puts the onus on you! I truly wish this does not rear its head and bites you all! Better live up to it!

  14. Richard Irish - Sep 3, 2010 at 12:12 AM

    After a long drought with many disappointing games and seasons, I finally feel the energy of a new era under Brian Kelly. Coach Kelly understands that it is not good enough just to be competitive and nothing less than wins are acceptable.
    Go Irish! Beat Purdue!

  15. NEEDAVIXEN - Sep 3, 2010 at 8:42 AM

    Since I was a ten ear old kid playing sandlot football, I have been a devout ND fan. A friend of mine that I really respected and looked up to, told me that ND was the best. I came home, studied up on just who ND was and painted my helmet gold that very night. To this day I bleed blue and gold.
    When BK got hired, I wasn’t sure he was the best man for the job. Once again, after studying up on the man and his legacy, I don’t think ND could have made a better choice.
    BK has instilled what has long been missing from ND football and sports across the nation: you’re here to play for ND and not future Sunday afternoons. ND has given you a free education that will benefit you for the rest of your life and an opportunity to excel on a national stage unlike any other. He’s reminded his players that they are “student” athletes and they play for the honor of Our Lady and those that have gone before them. It’s a privelege to play for ND.
    What I like best about BK is his passion for the game and how it translates to ND, his players and his role in the community. We haven’t seen passion like this since Lou Holtz and we all know how that turned out.
    I don’t think will have to go through 5-6 and 8-3 seasons to start the BK era like we did with Lou. I don’t know how deep of a run we’ll make this year but I believe double digit wins and a BCS bowl win are in the cards.
    If this comes to pass, “Oh, my!” Imagine the banner recruiting years and contender/champion seasons to come.
    Go Irish!

  16. carson watson - Sep 3, 2010 at 10:14 AM

    Its time to strap ‘em up and bust our opponents in the teeth and put the “fight” back in the fighting irish! CANT WAIT TO SEE THE GOLD AND BLUE TOMORROW!!!!!!
    GO IRISH

  17. Jon CM - Sep 3, 2010 at 11:07 AM

    Excellent work here, Keith.
    My only concern heading into the season is the conditioning aspect of the team. Obviously, Longo has the Irish linemen (offensive and defensive) putting up staggering numbers in dead lift, squat, and bench. This should help out a lot in the trenches where Notre Dame had consistently been pushed around by inferior lineman (read: Navy).
    But, since Kelly’s offense is so open-field oriented, couldn’t this come back to hurt the Irish? I understand that the linemen won’t run as much as the skill position players, but this kind of reminds me of Weis who trumpeted that his players were putting up awesome numbers in weight lifting, but then dialing up an inordinate amount of zone stretch plays on offense that required his linemen to have incredible endurance.
    What are your thoughts? Maybe I’m somewhat ignorant on Kelly’s offensive approach, but this concerns me somewhat.

  18. terry - Sep 3, 2010 at 12:00 PM

    38-10

  19. SonofDomer - Sep 3, 2010 at 12:43 PM

    Everybody needs to take a deep breath, calm down, and take it one game at a time.
    GO IRISH!

  20. Andy - Sep 3, 2010 at 2:42 PM

    I couldnt have said it any better. Cant wait for tomorrow! A new era begins..
    GO IRISH!!!

  21. Leroy - Sep 3, 2010 at 6:10 PM

    The days if Glory and Respect are knocking at the door and this is the year the door will be opened.

  22. lg - Sep 3, 2010 at 6:25 PM

    With all due respect… ND fans are always good for parties… they are such die hard fools… Let the Rock rest in Peace…
    Que the film Rock… let me get a beer first…

  23. lg - Sep 3, 2010 at 6:27 PM

    With all due respect… ND fans are always good for parties… they are such die hard fools… Let the Rock rest in Peace…
    Que the film Rock… let me get a beer first…

  24. ObieKnobbe - Sep 3, 2010 at 7:02 PM

    Jon no worries… I have read that many of the lineman have lost body fat and gained more muscle… these guys are conditioned and ready to go… Longo is one of the top strength and conditioning coaches in the country and I have my full trust in what he does. No worries my friend! GO IRISH!

  25. irishsupporter - Sep 3, 2010 at 7:38 PM

    Can’t wait for this season to get underway. Wished away a whole summer in anticipation of tomorrow. I want to believe all of the positive things I’ve been reading since the blue & gold game. Players stronger & in better shape. Committment to ND top priority instead of this is a stage for an NFL career. Players earning & losing their starting positions based on performance. A united team,
    a consisent kicking game, top high school players wanting to be part of the ND tradition, an offense that can run the ball as well as pass the ball, a defense that can stop the run & play hard all 4 quarters, a school and a community supporting the coaching staff & vice a versa…
    Go Irish

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