Floyd’s NFL decision not so cut and dry


It’s not like we didn’t see this coming.

From the first Saturday Michael Floyd stepped on the field at Notre Dame, he looked the part of an NFL wide receiver. Whether it was the freshman records he set in touchdowns, receptions and yards, the pure ball skills that make him a red zone match-up nightmare, or the NFL-ready physicality, everybody that’s watched Floyd play these last three seasons knew there was a very real chance that Floyd only spent three seasons in a Notre Dame uniform.

So as the Irish go through their last-minute preparations for the Sun Bowl, the Notre Dame coaching staff and the Irish faithful are bracing for the very possible reality that Michael Floyd will be playing his last game in an Irish uniform this Saturday.

Let’s take a look at some of the key factors in the decision that lies ahead of Floyd.


Let’s deal with the elephant first. Any decision Floyd makes should be based on what he’ll likely get monetarily to forgo his final season at Notre Dame, and all of that is contingent on where he’ll go in the NFL Draft.

Both Floyd and tight end Kyle Rudolph have asked for evaluations from the NFL Advisory Board, trying to get a better grasp on where they’ll be selected if they enter this spring’s draft as underclassmen. There’s a general consensus among pundits that Floyd’s among the top-five wide receivers in this year’s draft, though he’s closer to the bottom of that grouping than the top, which could mean just about anything when it comes to hearing his name called.

Over the past six years, there have been 21 wide receivers taken in the first round. Three times, six wideouts have gone in the first, once none did. It isn’t hard to do the basic math and understand that Floyd’s far from assured that he’ll hear his name called in primetime this spring. With that type of variance in the first round, let’s take a closer look at the type of wide receivers that heard their names called in round one.

One of Mike’s assets is his physicality. He’s 6-foot-3, almost 230-pounds and on film looks every bit as physical as his size dictates. That said, Floyd isn’t likely to clock in with a blazing 40-yard dash time, making it’ll a little easier to group him with a segment of past round one wide receivers. Without elite speed, it’s pretty easy to look at the past few years and say that if Floyd is going in round one, it’ll be the bottom half of the round, a place where guys like Hakeem Nicks and Dwayne Bowe went, receivers similar to Floyd in both size and speed.

Of course, it isn’t hard to look back at the recent history of Notre Dame skill players in the draft and wonder what that means for Floyd’s future. Whether it was Golden Tate and Jimmy Clausen’s tumble down the board or someone like Brady Quinn, there’s a very real issue of Irish players being over-hyped on draft boards when they make their decisions. To Floyd’s credit, he’s taking the patient approach, and waiting to hear from the advisory board before he makes any decision.

“Right now it doesn’t come into my head,” Floyd said. “A lot of people ask, and my answer doesn’t change for anybody. I still say I don’t know what I’m going to do.”

As if the decision wasn’t hard enough, Floyd and the rest of the underclassmen will have to monitor the NFL’s stalemate for a new collective bargaining agreement, a negotiation that could have major implications on the rookie wage scale and whether or not there’s even NFL football in 2011. There’s a lot of bluster out there right now on what may or may not happen, but for a junior making a jump to the next level, there’s an unprecedented amount of uncertainty.


Floyd’s role in Irish lore likely doesn’t play a part in his decision to return to the Irish for his senior season, but if he does, you can all but pencil Floyd at the top of every career mark in the school’s receiving record books.

Right now, Floyd sits fifth in receiving yards and third in receptions in school history, marks that’ll be easily shattered if Floyd comes back for 2011. Floyd is only one touchdown catch behind record holder Jeff Samardzija with 26 on his career, one where he’s missed nine games because of various injuries. (Something NFL teams certainly notice.)

Those injuries and a turbulent three seasons in South Bend all will frame the legacy Floyd leaves behind at Notre Dame. Like his former teammates Tate and Clausen, it’s hard to argue against their statistical brilliance in their short careers. But Floyd would walk away from the Irish after just a so-so season individually, on top of a transition year for a team that clearly struggled to find an offensive identity.

The idea of a legacy for a 21-year-old college athlete is a dizzying proposition, and any status you’ll earn with an rabid fanbase won’t do anything to help pay the bills for both you and your family. (Unless you go the route of guys like Cam Newton, Reggie Bush, and Terrelle Pryor.) The Irish have been snakebit all the way back to Justin Tuck’s early departure, and Floyd’s return would be the first high-profile senior season since Brady Quinn’s.


Floyd returning to school likely means he thinks he can boost his draft stock after a resurgent senior season. And if that’s the decision he ultimately makes, it’s pretty easy to support it. Floyd’s averaging a career-low in yards-per catch, and his 10 touchdowns isn’t much of an improvement on his previous two seasons when you consider the games he sat out with injuries. Entering the 2010 season, Floyd was the primary focus of every defense that faced the Irish and his three 100-yard games are less than he put up his freshman season, where he had four.

In 2011, Floyd would return to an offense that loses only Chris Stewart from the Sun Bowl starting lineup, and welcomes back two quarterbacks with significant minutes triggering Brian Kelly’s spread attack. He’ll have Theo Riddick anchored in the slot, John Goodman and TJ Jones playing on the edge along with some talented freshman and Tyler Eifert (or potentially Kyle Rudolph) occupying defenses at tight end. Add to that equation a competent running game and it isn’t hard to see why Floyd could buoy his draft stock with a prolific senior season in an offense that’ll evolve in season two of Brian Kelly’s tenure.


Still, if Friday is the last time we see Michael Floyd in an Irish uniform, he’ll leave behind a standard of hard work and dedication for his teammates.

“Michael Floyd is somebody that impacted our entire football team,” Kelly said. “He set a standard from my perspective, of how you want champions to practice and prepare. What he leaves is a standard I can point to moving forward: That’s how you prepare, that’s how you practice. Look at Michael Floyd.”

While it’d be fun to have Michael Floyd in the blue and gold for another autumn, you can’t blame him either way.

Bye Week Mailbag: Now Open

SOUTH BEND, IN - OCTOBER 15: DeShone Kizer #14 of the Notre Dame Fighting Irish runs the ball during the game against the Stanford Cardinal at Notre Dame Stadium on October 15, 2016 in South Bend, Indiana. Stanford defeated Notre Dame 17-10. (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images)
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It’s been too long. Or maybe it hasn’t.

Against my better judgment, I’m opening up the mailbag. Drop your questions below or at Twitter @KeithArnold.

How we got here: The Defense

05 September 2015:  Notre Dame Fighting Irish defensive coordinator Brian VanGorder stands with his players in action during a game between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Texas Longhorns at Notre Dame Stadium in South Bend, IN. (Icon Sportswire via AP Images)

The first of a multi-part series as we look at the 2-5 Irish at the bye week. 


Notre Dame’s season was sunk by Brian VanGorder’s defense. That sentence is much easier to write after seeing the unit without its former coordinator. But it was just as clear after watching the Irish play their first four games of 2016 that Brian Kelly needed to make a change. The Irish gave up a combined 124 points in their three September defeats, a season-high for either yards or points (against FBS competition) for Texas, Michigan State and Duke.

For many VanGorder detractors, the move came four games too late. The Irish were plagued by big plays and schematic breakdowns throughout 2015 (and before), a fatal flaw of a defense filled with talented personnel that too often underperformed.

How did the Irish get here? Any why did Kelly make the decision to hire VanGorder—a decision that has already impacted his legacy in South Bend?

Let’s look back.



When Brian Kelly tapped VanGorder to replace Bob Diaco, he was hiring a coach who seemed like an evolutionary next step. While Diaco’s 3-4 base and point prevention philosophies were the perfect tonic for improving a team that was wrecked by the Tenuta era, Alabama undressed the Irish at the end of the 2012 season, a simplicity in Notre Dame’s scheme that received a few comments from Alabama players in the postgame glow that likely had Kelly wondering if they’d hit their ceiling.

That’s an important factor to remember when Kelly was hiring Diaco’s replacement. Because the foundation of the defense was well established. Kelly needed someone to build on top of it.

That likely made VanGorder’s pitch music to Kelly’s ears. Because while Diaco relied heavily on his base set, VanGorder’s DNA included sub-packages, complementary parts, Rex Ryan-inspired blitzes, and a philosophy that no throw would be conceded— underneath or otherwise.

Add to that Kelly’s personal relationship with VanGorder. Kelly had watched his former Grand Valley State colleague from the beginning of his career. He had seen him work with young players and believed in him as a teacher (something he referenced multiple times when he introduced VanGorder to the local media) before blazing his own trail, earning a head coaching opportunity at Wayne State, a high-profile coordinator position at Georgia and eventually making his way to the NFL—for a long time, farther up the food chain than Kelly.

Perhaps that was enough to dismiss his chaotic year at Auburn, when the Tigers season—and defense—went up in smoke as Gene Chizik was fired and VanGorder’s defense gave up 63 to No. 20 Texas A&M, 38 to No. 5 Georgia, and were blown out 49-0 to Alabama—after after mid-October.

But for a variety of reasons, likely his success turning to coaches with a personal connection, Kelly once again did so, hiring an NFL position coach who was a few years removed from being an elite-level coaching target for a vacancy that was a high-profile national opening.



The challenge with VanGorder’s struggles always seemed to be the caveats. Injuries decimated his first defense, a group that shutout Michigan and stymied Stanford, but crumbled by the end of the season, with USC naming a number and the Irish tumbling after giving up big, ugly scores to Arizona State, Northwestern, Louisville and USC.

The 2015 defense had strong moments—dominating Texas, holding Clemson to 24 points and nice wins over option opponents Georgia Tech and Navy—but obviously imploded late against Stanford and never stood a chance against Ohio State, with injuries once again leveling the depth chart.

But there were improvements. Between 2014 and 2015 VanGorder’s unit got a better handle on up-tempo attacks. An offseason committed to stopping the option saw those goals achieved with successful defensive performances against Georgia Tech and Navy. And even if VanGorder’s veteran-heavy 2015 unit was mostly moving on (the talent exodus is staggering now that you look at it), most had talked themselves into believing that Year Three would have better institutional knowledge for all, a depth chart ready to step in and perform.

[A necessary footnote: Luck certainly wasn’t on VanGorder’s side. Injuries, transfers and suspensions certainly didn’t do him any favors, either. Whether it was the disappearance of edge rushers—Kolin Hill, Jhonny Williams, Bo Wallace—or the loss of KeiVarae Russell and Max Redfield, injuries to Jarron Jones, Shaun Crawford, Nick Watkins and Drue Tranquill, there was always the defense VanGorder hoped to put on the field… and then the one that he actually did.]



Austin, Texas. Opening night, 2016.

The Irish defense was exposed against the Longhorns, shredded by both the power running attack and freshman Shane Buechele’s passing. It was an all-systems failure: Scheme, blown assignments, questionable personnel decisions—all pointing back to a game plan that required a bunch of assumptions (new offensive coordinator Sterlin Gilbert was difficult to scout), but nonetheless was a disastrous start.



Even if Kelly gave the staff’s performance a passing grade, by noon after the loss to Duke, the decision was made to relieve VanGorder of his duties.

“This is a difficult decision,” Kelly said in a statement. “I have the utmost respect for Brian as both a person and football coach, but our defense simply isn’t it where it should be and I believe this change is necessary for the best interest of our program and our student-athletes.”



While Kelly won’t likely go any deeper into the decision to make the change than he’s done in a few media sessions, it’s telling just how different the defense is organized with VanGorder out the door.

Full-unit meetings have been turned into position group teaching sessions. Depth chart’s have been reshuffled, resulting in major personnel changes. A base three-man front has taken over as the status quo. And the defense has stopped giving up points and big plays, especially after they found their footing against Syracuse.

Where Kelly goes from here is anyone’s guess—especially considering he’s still trying his best to get this season under control. But after tapping into his personal coaching network to fill a premium vacancy, don’t expect Kelly to settle on the familiar—or for Swarbrick to allow it—when his roster is loaded with young talent and in need of a fundamentally sound plan.

CB Elijah Hicks commits to Notre Dame

Irish 247

Just hours after one member of Notre Dame’s 2017 class stepped away, another took his place. Southern California defensive back Elijah Hicks committed to the Irish. The four-star prospect, an all-purpose defender who can play safety, cornerback and contribute in special teams, pulled the trigger just days after taking his official visit to South Bend.

He made the news official via Twitter and recorded a commitment video with Irish 247’s Tom Loy. And even as Notre Dame’s season continues in the wrong direction, Hicks bought in to the message being sold by the Irish coaching staff, picking Notre Dame over programs like UCLA, USC, Michigan and Washington.

A year after stocking up the secondary—Hicks gives the Irish a nice piece to pair with Paulson Adebo and all-purpose athlete Isaiah Robertson. And as we watch Troy Pride, Julian Love, Donte Vaughn and Devin Studstill might a quick impact on the back end, Hicks compares favorably to that quartet, another prospect with elite offers who will come into South Bend ready to fight for a spot in the two-deep.

Hicks told Irish247.com why he pulled the trigger now:

“I chose Notre Dame because on my official visit I felt comfortable and it felt like home,” said Hicks. “One of my favorite quotes about Notre Dame is, ‘Other teams play college football, Notre Dame is college football.’ Coach Lyght, I feel like he could give me the tools that’s necessary to make it to the NFL and have a long career. Also, they have a rich tradition and great academic support.”

Hicks plays for La Mirada High School, the same program that produced reserve Irish tight end Tyler Luatua. He returns Notre Dame’s 2017 class to 18, a Top 10 group by any evaluation.


Irish suffer first recruiting defection with Donovan Jeter


After five losses, Notre Dame suffered their first consequence of a poor season in recruiting. Donovan Jeter, a four-star defensive lineman, has stepped away from his verbal commitment.

Jeter made the news public on Tuesday, taking to Twitter to send Irish fans into a tailspin.

The sky isn’t quite falling. Jeter called the Irish his top school, likely just getting ahead of the news that he’ll start taking official visits to other schools, something Notre Dame’s recruiting staff has worked well to slow down the past few cycles. Also helping the Irish’s cause is his proximity and connection to fellow Western Pennsylvania prospects David Adams, Kurt Hinish and Josh Lugg.

Still, after making it through last recruiting cycle without a defection, finding a way to win back Jeter is priority No. 1, a versatile defensive lineman who had an elite offer list and picked Notre Dame after basically dismissing them over the summer. The Irish have done it before, getting Stephon Tuitt back in the fold after Georgia Tech sold him on staying home. They won a battle with current defensive coordinator Greg Hudson when he was at Florida State for Aaron Lynch, though Lynch only lasted a season in South Bend.

Usually a decommitment—especially this time of year—isn’t ground for a news story. But as all eyes focus on Brian Kelly and his grasp on the Irish program, this serves as ammo for those looking for cracks in the foundation.


Jeter posted a Tweet that essentially confirmed my speculation. And also should serve as a reminder—DO. NOT. TWEET. AT. RECRUITS.