Oct 27, 2012, 11:53 AM EDT
It’s finally here. Now the long wait until tonight at 8:00 p.m. EST begins.
Before the Irish and the Sooners take the field (of course, we’ll be here for the live blog), let’s run through a few last minute questions I’m still pondering.
It sounds like Notre Dame will be without George Atkinson. The news started swirling across the internet last night that Atkinson, Notre Dame’s best big play threat, didn’t make the trip because of a nasty case of the flu.
Both he and his brother Josh were last-minute scratches on Coach Kelly’s radio show Thursday night, which added credence to the rumor, and ESPN.com’s Matt Fortuna confirmed via a source that Atkinson didn’t make the team’s flight.
What does Atkinson’s absence mean tonight? Probably nothing from a production point of view on the ground. In Notre Dame’s biggest games, Atkinson has seen the least amount of action. But for those hoping the Irish special teams were going to get out of their funk, well — this certainly doesn’t help.
How will the Irish defense handle Oklahoma’s tempo offense? Notre Dame will face their biggest offensive test of the year this evening against Landry Jones and the Sooners offense. With an impressive running game, an NFL-level passer, and a few nice skill players on the edge, the personnel Oklahoma has isn’t vintage Stoops, but it’s certainly good enough to beat the Irish.
But Notre Dame’s biggest challenge will be matching up with the Sooners’ tempo offense. How the Irish stop Oklahoma when they try to pick up the pace and go no-huddle will be an interesting subplot.
The Irish will need great games from Stephon Tuitt, Louis Nix, and Kapron Lewis-Moore. But just as important, they’ll need Sheldon Day, Tony Springmann, and Kona Schwenke to fill in the gaps seamlessly.
The best way to stop tempo? Get off the field. Notre Dame is getting three-and-outs on an amazing 40-percent of opponent’s drives this season, good for sixth in the country.
How will the Irish defense stack up against the Belldozer? There might not be a cooler / more annoying nickname in college football this year, with Sooners’ back-up quarterback, Blake Bell, a 6-foot-6, 260-pound wrecking ball running Oklahoma’s short-yardage offense.
Bell has yet to throw for a touchdown in his two seasons of spot duty, but he’s run for a staggering 21 touchdowns over the past two seasons, with eight already this year, including four in the 63-21 beating of Texas. With Bell in the game, the Sooners have themselves an oversized Tim Tebow, who runs patiently behind the Sooners’ offensive line in jumbo formations that stress a defense.
Notre Dame will fight power with power, and Bell will be running into the strength of the Notre Dame defense. I expect the Sooners’ to use Bell, but also mix in a jump pass or play-action attempt, hoping to catch the Irish stacked for the run.
Notre Dame might not have one, but the Sooners have a fullback. And junior Trey Millard, a 6-foot-2, 255-pounder, is a good one. Millard’s a versatile guy, running the ball 14 times for 109 yards on the season and also making 13 catches. He’s a guy that’s smooth out of the backfield and also does a great job as a lead blocker.
He’s a valuable piece of the Oklahoma offense, and worth keeping an eye on.
Can Everett Golson make some plays down the field? And can he get Tyler Eifert involved? The recipe seems similar to the one Notre Dame needed against Michigan State. Notre Dame needs to make some plays down the field with their wide receivers, and utilize All-American tight end Tyler Eifert.
Oklahoma defensive coordinator Mike Stoops will likely try to take the run game away from the Irish, forcing Golson to beat the Sooners with his arm. Against the Spartans, Notre Dame’s wide receivers rose to the challenge, winning their share of one-on-one battles, including John Goodman’s long touchdown grab to kick off the scoring.
The Sooners have a talented secondary, but they aren’t world beaters. The Irish will need to work the field vertically in their passing game, taking shots down the field consistently, and they’ll need to hit on them when they are there, something Golson hasn’t been able to do just yet this year. Golson will also need to find a rhythm with Eifert, with hopes that their touchdown pass against Stanford is a sign of things to come.
The Irish defense can’t let the Sooners get over the top. Make no mistake, Oklahoma won’t drop the deep touchdown passes if the Sooners get behind Notre Dame’s secondary. The Irish got away with a few mental mistakes against Miami when Phillip Dorsett bailed them out with some drops. And Zeke Motta and company won’t have Riley Nelson to thank if they forget a wide out is running behind them.
For Notre Dame’s secondary, this is their biggest test of the year. The young group has held up well so far this season, but they’ll need to play better — and smarter — to do their part in the Irish upset.
Could Vegas actually be right? This gambling line continues to move in the favor of the Sooners, up to as many as 12 points in favor of Oklahoma after opening at 8.5. That means most expect Oklahoma to win, and win comfortably.
On paper, it makes sense. The Irish haven’t looked particularly dominant in winning, and they have an offense that has struggled to do anything against decent teams. But can Notre Dame prove that this year is different? Can Brian Kelly’s team win a game, what tho’ the odds?
It should make for an exciting Saturday evening.