Nov 12, 2012, 3:57 PM EDT
With two Saturdays left in Notre Dame’s season, two highly unrealistic scenarios are close to playing out before our very eyes. First, the Irish might run the table, completing as improbable of a undefeated regular season as you can remember. Second, it might not matter, and a 12-0 Notre Dame will be held out of the national championship game.
If you were looking for a prop bet that would pay out like a super lotto ticket, you could’ve found plenty of takers back in August. That’s when Notre Dame was kept out of the preseason polls, if only because it was widely agreed that the Irish played the toughest schedule in the country, a slate that felt destined to come with four or five losses.
But a funny thing happened along the way. After months of offseason hypothesizing and turning coffee table debate into definitive, preseason rankings, eventual football games were played. And it turned out that the Irish were much better than people expected while their opponents maybe weren’t as tough. Sure, Michigan and Michigan State didn’t turn out to be top ten teams, and BYU slipped up some after a ten win season. But they definitely didn’t turn into Missouri State or North Texas, two pre-purchased victories for Kansas State. Winning ugly against BCS opponents like Purdue or Pitt isn’t going to win a fashion show, but it tells you more than scheduling Arkansas State or Tennessee Tech will, the pride of conferences Sun Belt and Ohio Valley respectively.
Yet this isn’t another column to bemoan the plight of the Fighting Irish. It’s not another wasted exercise in trying to find apples-to-apples comparisons in a college football world that will never resemble a fruit stand. Don’t get me wrong, those arguments can — and should — be made. But only after Notre Dame beats USC. Because until then, there’s really nothing to talk about.
In many ways, USC’s season is a microcosm of Notre Dame’s opponents. The Trojans started the year atop the national rankings. Armed with a golden boy quarterback, two elite wide receivers, a running back acquired via virtual free agency from Penn State, and a defense that returned eight starters (remember, that’s what matters in those summer months), it took a while for some of Southern Cal’s fatal flaws to be exposed, as they were in losses to Stanford, Arizona and Oregon.
But that’s not to say the Trojans aren’t dangerous. In many ways, having USC in the way of Irish immortality makes this team one of the most frightening of all. As Lane Kiffin learned this year, it’s quite different being the hunted rather than the hunter, a role the Trojans relished during their 10-2 2011 campaign. It’s a role they will easily adopt next Saturday, as Matt Barkley leads his teammates into the Coliseum one last time.
The Irish still need to get past Wake Forest, a team that also beat Boston College by two touchdowns. A loss to the Demon Deacons ends any championship discussions quickly, and also legitimizes any arguments being made that Notre Dame is a pretender. But if the Irish walk out of the Coliseum 12-0, they’ll have done everything asked of them, completing a schedule that may not have been Kilimanjaro, but certainly a tougher climb than the slates faced by the other title contenders.
Any championship determined by computers, pollsters and fellow coaches is bound to end up rankling a team or two, especially if more than two teams run the table. But you can hardly blame Brian Kelly for staying out of the debate, as he knows what stands between him and his shot at a national title.
A year after getting punked at home at Notre Dame Stadium, don’t expect Kelly and his staff to come up for air until they leave Los Angeles undefeated.
Then? Let the politicking begin.
Sep 30, 2014, 4:29 PM EDT
Notre Dame head coach Brian Kelly addressed the media today to discuss Saturday’s showdown with Stanford. And a week after surviving a five-turnover game against Syracuse, Kelly made it pretty clear that he knew that type of effort wasn’t going to cut it.
Sep 29, 2014, 11:42 AM EDT
On second inspection, Notre Dame did some very impressive things in their 31-15 victory over Syracuse. But the head-scratching mistakes that revealed themselves in the season’s fourth game also gave us our first sign of some flaws that many had hoped this young team was past.
Sep 28, 2014, 1:56 AM EDT
Earlier in the week, Brian Kelly was asked about his last time in MetLife Stadium. He almost chuckled to himself, wondering when Notre Dame’s humbling, one-sided defeat to Navy in 2010 would be drudged up again this week.
Sep 27, 2014, 6:30 PM EDT
Returning to the New York metro area for the first time since the Pinstripe Bowl, Notre Dame looks to get to 4-0 on the season with a victory over Syracuse. For the Irish, it’s their first opportunity to play on the road, though lucky to start in the friendly confines of MetLife Stadium in the Meadowlands instead of the Carrier Dome.
Sep 27, 2014, 12:04 PM EDT
This is such a long mailbag I’m just skipping the witty intro. Or even the halfway decent intro. So let’s get right to a tough set of questions.
Sep 26, 2014, 11:58 PM EDT
Wide receiver DaVaris Daniels broke his silence Friday, talking with ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler about his exile as five Notre Dame football players still awaiting their university hearings. Daniels, Eilar Hardy, Kendall Moore, KeiVarae Russell and Ishaq Williams have all been withheld from football activities while the university process continues.
Sep 26, 2014, 9:26 AM EDT
Win September. Sounds easy enough, but Notre Dame has only started 4-0 a dozen times since 1970 and just twice since the turn of the century. But by beating Syracuse on Saturday night the Irish have a chance to enter the most difficult stretch of their season on a perfect role.
Sep 25, 2014, 4:03 PM EDT
Notre Dame and Texas A&M have agreed to play a two-game, home-and-home series, starting in 2024. The Irish and Aggies will open the 2024 season in College Station before playing a late September game the following season. The two programs haven’t met on the football field since 2001.
Sep 25, 2014, 12:52 PM EDT
Coming off a difficult loss to Rutgers, Syracuse head coach Scott Shafer doesn’t expect things to get easier this weekend. With the Orange giving up home field advantage as they’ve moved the game to MetLife Field, Syracuse enters the game double-digit underdogs as they prepare to take on a Notre Dame team that’s ranked No. 8 in the country.
Sep 25, 2014, 10:35 AM EDT
Drop your questions below or on Twitter @KeithArnold.
Sep 24, 2014, 1:45 PM EDT
While Brian Kelly tried to downplay the finality of the significant adjustment to the two-deep depth chart along the offensive line, he talked about the rationale for flip-flopping Christian Lombard and Steve Elmer, as well as Nick Martin and Matt Hegarty on Tuesday afternoon.
Sep 24, 2014, 9:45 AM EDT
Notre Dame begins its scheduling alliance with the ACC this weekend, as the Irish take on Syracuse this Saturday night in another primetime kickoff for the Irish. Second-year coach Scott Shafer’s squad is 2-1, coming off a disappointing two-touchdown loss to Rutgers that statistically could’ve played out like a blowout win for the Orange.
Sep 23, 2014, 5:06 PM EDT
After not meeting with the media last Tuesday, Notre Dame head coach Brian Kelly took to the podium for his regularly scheduled weekly press conference. While he addressed changes on the offensive line, injury news and the game Saturday night against Syracuse (we’ll get to that later), he also spoke about the status of DaVaris Daniels, Eilar Hardy, Kendall Moore, KeiVarae Russell and Ishaq Williams, still held out of football activities as an academic investigation continues.
Sep 23, 2014, 11:58 AM EDT
Rumors of some offensive line tweaks have been confirmed. On Notre Dame’s weekly depth chart, the Irish starting five up front have shifted dramatically.
Sep 22, 2014, 7:49 PM EDT
Notre Dame enjoyed a Saturday off, a casual observer on a crazy weekend that served as the first shakeup of the season. But as Brian Kelly prepares his team for Syracuse, he’ll start a four-week stretch that’ll likely define Notre Dame’s season.
Sep 19, 2014, 2:46 PM EDT
As summer officially ends after this weekend, Notre Dame fans get one last uninterrupted Saturday to soak it in. So while the Irish are off, let’s take a look at who Notre Dame’s future opponents are playing and then get to the mailbag.
Sep 18, 2014, 1:22 PM EDT
Over the weekend, Brian Kelly talked candidly about finding a better performance from his offensive line. With talented personnel that’s still finding its identity after Zack Martin and Chris Watt graduated, Kelly and offensive line coach Harry Hiestand have an off week to find the five optimal starters — and their positions — before taking on Syracuse next weekend.
Sep 18, 2014, 11:31 AM EDT
Questions before a weekend without Notre Dame football? Drop them below or on Twitter @KeithArnold.
Sep 17, 2014, 1:36 PM EDT
After missing the first three games of the season, the fate of DaVaris Daniels, Eilar Hardy, Kendall Moore, KeiVarae Russell and Ishaq Williams is still up in the air. After announcing an official investigation into academic dishonesty in mid-August, updates on the status of the five players have been limited to head coach Brian Kelly’s weekly loop of uncertainty.
Sep 16, 2014, 11:59 AM EDT
With the Irish getting a much needed Saturday off, we won’t hear from Brian Kelly until he’s previewing Syracuse for us next weekend. But with one quarter of the season in the books, let’s take a look at some of the surprises after three games, digging deep in to the stats after victories over Rice, Michigan and Purdue.
- The good, the bad, the ugly: Notre Dame vs. Syracuse 94
- Five things we learned: Notre Dame 31, Syracuse 15 163
- Pregame Six Pack: Syracuse in the way of perfect September 41
- And in that corner… The Syracuse Orange 34
- It’s still way too early, but Notre Dame’s path is open to CFB Playoff 130
- The good, the bad, the ugly: Notre Dame vs. Purdue 61