USC Notre Dame Football

The good, the bad, the ugly: Notre Dame vs. USC

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Beauty is in the eye of the beholder. That was never more true than in the aftermath of Notre Dame’s 14-10 victory, a game where offensive football went to die after halftime.

What looked like a game that’d feature two efficient offenses turned into trench warfare. With the Irish on pace to gain 500 yards on the evening and USC going to halftime with 209 yards themselves, not many saw the slugfest coming. But for a Notre Dame team that leaned heavily on its defense during a twelve-win regular season, the temporary return to defensive dominance was a welcome sight, especially since it was needed with Andrew Hendrix turning into a deer under the stadium lights.

No win over USC is a bad win. And your reaction to the style of victory likely says more about you than it does about this football team. But the response inside the program was unequivocal: It was a great victory.

Let’s go through the good, the bad, and the ugly from Notre Dame’s 14-10 win over USC.

THE GOOD

Second Half defense. I wrote a little bit more about it over here, but I’ve got a hard time finding a better 30 minutes of football than the ones this defense put together. Especially considering the circumstances, the margin for error, the pressure and the opponent.

Adding another level of appreciation to the performance? How about the bodies that were missing. Brian Kelly mentioned on Sunday that a ridiculous eight guys were missing from the two-deep. But players like Romeo Okwara and Joe Schmidt stepped up. Youngsters like Devin Butler and Cole Luke played tough. And the teams best players carried not just their weight, but the offense’s, too.

There may have been more heroic moments during last season’s magical run. But those were the most dominant 30 minutes of defense I can remember.

Tommy Rees. As I noted last night on Twitter, Rees should be fine by Saturday. Kelly addressed the injury to his senior quarterback this afternoon.

“He’s feeling better today,” Kelly said. “Still a little sore. But it will be a day‑to‑day situation.”

The injury took away from one of the better games Rees has played this year. Against a defense that Andrew Hendrix made look like the ’85 Bears, Rees completed 14 of 21 throws for 166 yards and two touchdowns.

He also made it clear that he’s the No. 1 quarterback for obvious reasons, even if portions of this fanbase are hellbent on believing there’s somebody better unjustly waiting their turn.

Rees passed the 6,000 yard mark for career passing yards Saturday night and became the first quarterback since Rick Mirer to defeat USC twice. When asked about some of the career accomplishments Rees has achieved, Kelly seemed to subtly poke at some of the backlash that’s followed Rees these past few years.

“I don’t know that Tommy nor I would look at those numbers and equate much,” Kelly said. “He’s interested and I’m interested in winning football games.  I think it does say a lot about the kid and his perseverance.

“He’s just a tough kid, and he just keeps battling.  I’m sure he’ll look back on that a little bit later and be able to point out, hey, I did play at Notre Dame and I wasn’t that bad.”

Troy Niklas. Don’t look now, but the Irish have another elite weapon at tight end. Niklas was excellent on Saturday night, leading the Irish in receiving and scoring another touchdown on his way to four catches for 58 yards.

(Niklas was also wide open on Hendrix’s throw-fumble, the end of the Irish passing game.)

We’re watching a guy learn the game in front of our eyes and develop into an elite college football player. That’s a product of hard work by Niklas, a guy that won’t be cheated in the weight room or on the practice field. It’s also great coaching and Scott Booker, Chuck Martin and Kelly all deserve some credit.

Cam McDaniel. Let’s get the bad out of the way first. McDaniel just can’t lay the football on the ground. It’s the fastest way to the sideline. But McDaniel also provided another important datapoint that shows why some people still believe he’s the best running back on the Irish roster.

Against a team filled with elite athletes, McDaniel may have put on the move of the evening with a stop-and-start juke opening up the outside for a huge 36 yard run. McDaniel’s 92 yards on 18 carries provided some type of balance to the passing attack before the Trojans stacked eight, nine and sometimes ten men inside the box.

Stephon Tuitt. We got into it last night, but Tuitt was a man among boys out there.

KeiVarae Russell and Joe Schmidt. Big hits down the stretch caused two key incomplete passes. Really nice work by both guys, and if Irish fans are looking for a folk hero, they should turn their eyes to Schmidt, who paid his own way to go to Notre Dame and played the best game of his life against the team that dominates his backyard.

QUICK HITTERS:

That’s four straight games with a touchdown for TJ Jones. He may have only gained 46 yards, but the touchdown catch was a great individual effort. Jones also made a really important catch on a short punt that turned into a positive play.

Talk about great Third Down Defense. After the first two third down conversions, USC didn’t make another for the rest of the night.

Good to see Davaris Daniels seem to be on the same page as Tommy Rees. You get the feeling that he was set to make a few big plays in the second half if the Irish were able to throw the ball.

Heckuva day by Jaylon Smith. You saw that right. That’s Smith covering Nelson Agholor one-on-one and making an interception. Nice game for Carlo Calabrese as well, although he’s still missing too many tackles.

He may have only showed up with two tackles in the box score, but Ishaq Williams drew a couple key holding calls coming off the edge.

Nice punt by mini-punter, also known as Alex Wulfeck. 

THE BAD

Tackling. There were just too many missed tackles by the Irish defense. Top-level guys like Bennett Jackson and Carlo Calabrese swung and missed a few too many times, and while they weren’t exactly trying to take down blocking sleds, those misses could’ve been costly against the Trojans.

Expect things to get cleaned up, especially as the Irish play a gentler schedule down the stretch until Stanford.

Special Teams coverage. Nelson Agholor very nearly beat the Irish himself on special teams, with the Irish coverage teams having a brutal day, with Agholor notching 100 punt return yards on just four tries.

“We were undisciplined in punt coverage,” Kelly said after the game. “We were actually just overactive, out of our lanes, really trying to squeeze the football too hard and got the ball outside of us on a couple of occasions.  We’ve got to do a better job there.”

USC kicker Andre Heidari bailed the Irish out with two missed from 40 and 46 yards, but a game after doing a really good job of controlling field positions thanks to special teams, the Irish won in spite of the third segment.

Andrew Hendrix. I’m keeping this out of the ugly because at this point it feels like piling on Hendrix, a kid that’s done everything right here at Notre Dame and embodies so many things that make student-athletes special.

But when Hendrix’s number was called the stage just got too big for him and his inability to operate even at a base level very nearly cost the game. Kelly talked about the expectations he has for Hendrix.

“I don’t think Andrew nor myself or Coach Martin could expect him not to perform at a higher level. I think he’s probably as disappointed as anybody,” Kelly said Sunday. “Those are basic things he’s got to do better.

“I think you could probably look at mechanics, the game, nerves, all those things.  But he’s been in it too long for those things to affect him.  He’s got to play better, period.  He’s going to have to be challenged to play better, and he knows that.”

Probably the ugliest stat from last night was the productivity the Irish had during Hendrix’s time running the offense. He entered the game with just over 24 minutes left. He ran 23 plays. The Irish gained 23 yards. That’s less than a yard a minute.

What’s obvious to just about anyone that understands program building is that freshman Malik Zaire isn’t ready to play. Nor is he a guy that this staff wants to play, especially with Rees departing and Hendrix far from a lock from returning as well.

Zaire will take first team practice reps on Tuesday only if Rees isn’t able to go. But he’s an emergency option at best.

THE UGLY

That victory was the definition of winning ugly. And by the looks of the latest ICONN video over at UND.com, the team didn’t seem to mind one bit.

***

Spring positions to watch for revelations: DL & WR

SOUTH BEND, IN - SEPTEMBER 05: Jerry Tillery #99 of the Notre Dame Fighting Irish tackles Jerrod Heard #13 of the Texas Longhorns for a loss of yards during the second quarter at Notre Dame Stadium on September 5, 2015 in South Bend, Indiana.  (Photo by Jon Durr/Getty Images)
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If quarterback, rover and the early enrollees could be Notre Dame fans’ springtime Christmas thrills, what positions present as potential spots of coal?

Three former Irish players were invited to next week’s NFL Combine in Indianapolis: quarterback DeShone Kizer, defensive tackle Jarron Jones and defensive end Isaac Rochell. Losing two consistent defensive linemen leaves this year’s unit with some questions. Jones and Rochell combined for 100 tackles, 18 for loss and three sacks last season. Notre Dame’s returning defensive linemen combined to total 111 tackles and only 5.5 tackles for loss. To be clear, sacks are not included in that latter list because no returning defensive linemen recorded one. Among the returnees, junior tackle Jerry Tillery (37 tackles, three for loss) and senior end Andrew Trumbetti (26, 0.5) contributed solidly alongside the two NFL prospects.

This dearth of known and reliable linemen is a large part of why the potential transfer of Clemson graduate defensive tackle Scott Pagano is so intriguing. Pagano would immediately be a favorite to start, and if not that, at least rotate in heavily.

For now, though, Pagano remains a theoretical

By the end of spring practice, who already on campus will emerge alongside Tillery and Trumbetti in the Irish front? Senior ends Jay Hayes (10 tackles, 0.5 for loss) and Jonathon Bonner (nine tackles) seem the most-likely candidates … aside from former four-star recruit and now rising sophomore Daelin Hayes. In his debut season, D. Hayes finished with 11 tackles.

Look for senior tackle Daniel Cage (10 tackles, 0.5 for loss) to establish himself as Tillery’s immediate backup this spring, but that spot in the rotation will be up for competition all over again once four-star tackle Darnell Ewell (Lake Taylor High School; Norfolk, Va.) arrives on campus in the fall. His size and quickness should play right into new defensive coordinator Mike Elko’s system.

Equanimeous and Who?
Not only did Notre Dame bring in a graduate transfer at receiver in former Michigan wideout Freddy Canteen, but it has also already received the commitments of two four-star receivers in the 2018 recruiting class. The continued emphasis on the position reflects the lack of bona fide game-breakers currently on the roster.

Junior Equanimeous St. Brown established himself as the top Irish threat in 2016, and he should shine only further with junior quarterback Brandon Wimbush targeting him. Classmates often amplify each other’s success, simply due to the added shared reps innate to joining practice at the same time. With Torii Hunter, Jr., now pursuing a professional baseball career, who will prevent the secondary from focusing all its energies on St. Brown?

Canteen will not be with Notre Dame in the spring, as he does not graduate from Michigan until April. That will give a clear shot for the likes of juniors Chris Finke, C.J. Sanders and Miles Boykin, and sophomores Kevin Stepherson, Javon McKinley and Chase Claypool to establish themselves. Did that say “clear” shot? It should probably read, “a chance to separate from the crowd.”

If a genuine threat does not line up opposite St. Brown, his explosiveness will likely be greatly reduced by focused defensive scheming. Wimbush will need another target before 2018.

Of course, here is where one should acknowledge the millennia-tested fact: Coal under pressure becomes diamonds.

2016 Notre Dame’s win expectancy was 7.2
Sports Illustrated’s Chris Johnson named the Irish as his team most likely to dramatically improve its record in 2017. Johnson’s thinking is based, at least in part, on Notre Dame’s second-order win total having been 7.2 in 2016, compared to the four wins the Irish actually walked away with. That discrepancy was the largest in the country.

Second-order win totals reflect how many points a team should have scored and allowed based on offensive and defensive stats. In theory, this shines a light on how luck and chance factored into results. Naturally, losing seven games by one possession will often be reflected by a higher second-order win total.

“Notre Dame’s win-loss record belied a solid, if imperfect, squad that just couldn’t pull out close games…” Johnson writes. “The Irish may not get back into College Football Playoff contention in 2017, but they’re bound to post a few more Ws because of reversion to the mean.”

Admittedly, the small sample size of a football season reduces the applicability of metrics such as second- and third-order wins when compared to baseball and basketball.

Jones becomes Mack
A quick piece of housekeeping: Apparently junior tight end Alizé Jones has changed his name to Alizé Mack.

While Notre Dame’s roster may not reflect that change yet, it is reasonable to expect it will after its next update. The football program has consistently respected the intricacies of players’ name preferences. Tai-ler Jones becoming TJ Jones jumps to mind, for example.

Anyways, hopefully noting Mack’s name change here might reduce some confusion down the line. Probably not. How many readers possibly read to the actual bottom of an article? But hey, in good faith.

WR Lenzy makes 11th commitment, brings speed to Irish

lenzy
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At what point does an impressive recruiting roll become something more? When does it become a harbinger of things to come, even if not for a few seasons? How many notable commitments in a row establishes a class as special?

If the answer to any of the above is 11 commitments by the end of February, including five within two weeks, then Notre Dame is there following consensus four-star athlete Braden Lenzy’s announcement Thursday evening.

The Tigard High School (Portland, Ore) receiver/cornerback chose the Irish over offers from USC, Oregon and Michigan State, among a litany of others. In all, nine Pac-12 schools chased Lenzy—and a 10th, Washington, had shown interest—per rivals.com.

Lenzy will fit the leading 2018 need voiced by Irish coach Brian Kelly three weeks ago on National Signing Day 2017.

“Elite speed on offense will be a primary goal for us,” Kelly said Feb. 1. “Guys that can change the game on one possession. I think we’ll see that… We want a couple of home run hitters. We don’t care if they’re Darren Sproles’s size. We’re going to come off the board in terms of profile. We want some guys that can change the game on offense with elite speed.”

At 6-foot, 175 pounds, Lenzy is taller than Sproles’s 5-foot-6, but it is still his speed that drew Notre Dame’s interest.

“They made it clear they want me to do kickoff return and use me as a deep threat across the field,” he told Irish Illustrated. “Just being kind of an athlete, similar to what I’ve been doing already in high school, just on a bigger scale with a quarterback that can throw it a lot farther.”

Presuming Irish quarterback Brandon Wimbush is that arm in 2018, throwing great distances should not be an issue. Between Lenzy and fellow 2018 commit Micah Jones, covering those distances should be a reasonable request, as well.

Lenzy brings Notre Dame’s class of 2018 to 11, including eight four-stars according to Rivals’ rating system. Current scholarship projections indicate the class will not be a large one, meaning the Irish coaching staff has already garnered the commitments of more than half the class. Once again, though, Kelly’s sentiment regarding recruiting timing should be remembered.

“We’re all going to have to fight until February.”

SWARBRICK’S TAKE ON RECRUITING
Kelly credited Director of Athletics Jack Swarbrick with much assistance in securing the country’s No. 13 recruiting class in 2017. A refresher on those comments:

“In a lot of instances, [Swarbrick] had to be there to support our football program and talk to recruits about where this program is and where it’s going,” Kelly said. “There are questions when a family comes on campus. He reminded them about the investment we were making in staff and what we were doing for the present and for the future.”

Swarbrick did not dispute the factual nature of any of that in an interview with the Indianapolis Star, but he did contest the need for praising what he saw as part of his job, one of the preferred parts of his job, at that.

“I can’t say anything about this year felt all that different,” Swarbrick told Star reporter Laken Litman. “Some asked questions about the future of the program and can we compete for a national championship. And I would talk about the elements of the program we were focused on improving.”

Swarbrick and Litman discussed a number of items in the second-half of the interview released by the Star, including Notre Dame’s facilities, a possible early signing period in football and if the Oct. 8, 2016, game against North Carolina State should have been played. Spoiler: No. Then why was it? Go check it out.

Swarbrick also told Litman he likes to write in his free time.

“I tend to think strategically with a pen in my hand.” Swarbrick added he is currently scribbling away on where he thinks college athletics are headed.

This scribe, for one, would be most interested in skimming those legal pads.

Will Wimbush, Elko and the early enrollees surprise in spring practice?

SOUTH BEND, IN - SEPTEMBER 26: Fans congratulate Brandon Wimbush #12 of the Notre Dame Fighting Irish after he ran for a 58 yard touchdown against the Massachusetts Minutemen at Notre Dame Stadium on September 26, 2015 in South Bend, Indiana. Notre Dame defeated Umass 62-27.  (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)
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Exactly 59 days from today, the Irish will take the field at Notre Dame Stadium. Sure, they will be playing against themselves, but nonetheless, it will be somewhat-competitive football played in gold helmets.

For timing context, exactly 59 days ago, you looked beneath the Christmas tree to learn if Santa Claus left you season tickets, socks or coal. I got socks. They had some of that extra cushioning, so I considered them a suitable treat.

Whether you care about my argyles or not (you don’t), for many the Blue-Gold Game and Christmas morning hold similar excitement. That fact is apparently why Notre Dame director of athletics Jack Swarbrick does not concern himself when groups of alumni publicly lament his decisions, or lack thereof.

“I never worry about that,” Swarbirck told the Indianapolis Star in an exclusive interview you really should read. Go on, click the link, it will open in a new tab. You can come right back here when you are done.

“The hardest job in athletics is trying to generate passion in your program. If that sort of stuff bothers you, you can’t be the athletic director, head coach or the quarterback at Notre Dame.”

That very passion will undoubtedly lead to frame-by-frame discussions of video snippets from spring practice, parsing of each and every word Irish coach Brian Kelly says in quick interviews after those practices, and extreme pessimism and optimism about the 2017 season.

In the Christmas spirit, what toys could bring the must excitement during the spring unwrapping? Personally, the gift I was unsure of always brought the most joy. I would rather open an unexpected book than know about a charcoal-gray suit. In other words, at least for today, let’s look past the offensive line, the running backs and the inside linebackers. Instead, let’s look forward to learning about… (more…)

How did Mike Elko fare against past Irish opponents?

TALLAHASSEE, FL - OCTOBER 18:  Karlos Williams #9 of the Florida State Seminoles scores the touchdown that would win the game against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish during their game at Doak Campbell Stadium on October 18, 2014 in Tallahassee, Florida.  (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)
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Former Irish defensive coordinator Brian VanGorder took over at that position before the 2014 season. Former Wake Forest defensive coordinator, and now VanGorder’s successor at Notre Dame, Mike Elko took over in Winston-Salem at the same time. Since then, the two programs faced common opponents nine times.

With the lone exception of Army, all these games featured ACC opponents. When it comes to talent, Wake Forest tends to be outmatched in the ACC. Recruits from 2011 to 2016 suited up for the Deacons in the 2014-16 seasons. During those six recruiting cycles, Wake Forest never finished higher than No. 10 in the conference according to rivals.com’s rankings. In 2012 and 2014, the Deacons finished at the bottom of the conference in recruiting.

Notre Dame, meanwhile, finished behind an ACC team a total of 10 times over those six years. Florida State outpaced the Irish five times, the exception being Notre Dame’s No. 3-ranked class in 2013 following its national championship game appearance. Clemson finished ahead of the Irish four times (2014 joining 2013 as the outliers), and Miami rounds the listing off with its No. 9-finish in 2012, compared to Notre Dame’s No. 20.

The point being, VanGorder and the Irish could anticipate having a stronger and deeper roster in at least six of the games discussed below. Elko and Wake Forest may have been able to make that argument—and it would be a debatable one—just once, when they faced Duke this past September.

Before comparing the two units’ successes and failures in those nine—actually, 18—contests, let’s establish two points of clarification. Notre Dame and North Carolina State played in a literal hurricane this past October. Comparing that game to any other will accomplish nothing. Furthermore, before anyone starts griping about that afternoon’s play-calling, this is an exercise discussing defensive performances, not offensive. The run:pass distribution of Oct. 1, 2016, bears no significance here.

Secondly, the other two games the Irish played fitting this criteria but after VanGorder’s dismissal—Syracuse and Army—are included below. Only so much of the scheme changed mid-season, and the personnel did not.

If you are busy catching up from a long weekend and do not have the time to look at the numbers below, a quick summary for you: In five of the eight instances, Elko’s unit fared distinctly better than VanGorder’s in multiple notable statistical categories. However, the Deacons struggled with Army’s triple-option attack, and both 2014 Florida State and 2015 Clemson blew right through the aggressive defense far easier than they did against Notre Dame.

Presented in something resembling reverse chronological order: (more…)