Syracuse Mailbag: Everything under the kitchen sink

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This is such a long mailbag I’m just skipping the witty intro. Or even the halfway decent intro.

So let’s get to it. You guys did a nice job. Some very good questions. I’ll admit it right now, I dodged one that asked me to compare the season to a song by the Boss. Sorry, Drew Brennan. My wife scolded me for thinking of Thunder Road, as “that’s not even close to what the song is about.” So there you have it. Lyrical symbolist I am not.

Off to the questions!

 

prodigolson: Hypothetical playoff questions for you (because those don’t ever get old): Who has a better shot of getting in the playoffs between an undefeated BYU team and a 1 loss Irish team? Would the Irish have to be a close one to say a #1 FSU?

That’s a pretty good question. Obviously it depends on the one loss. It also probably depends on how terrible Texas ends up being, as that’ll likely serve as the “signature win” for the Cougars, though they also would need to make it through UCF and Boise State before we really have that conversation.

BYU making the four-team playoff would be a real shocker, but would erase any concerns that this is just a Power Five tournament.

 

4horsemenrideagain: What duties have Pat Eilers taken on doing since he came aboard as the special consultant to the secondary and does this evidence his goal to make a permanent switch from a career in finance/investments to coaching?

I haven’t spoken with Eilers about the decision to come on board to help out but he did take a sabbatical from a very impressive job at a world-class private equity firm, so I don’t think a guy in his late-40s with kids in college is dying to jump onto the bottom rung of the college coaching ladder.

But from what Kelly has said, Eilers is helping in film breakdown and with the safeties as Kyle McCarthy still works through his chemo treatments. So don’t expect this to be a long-term career path for Eilers. But a temporary gig at your alma mater that needs help because its shorthanded? Sounds like a dream.

 

tburke9601: For the 5 “that-are not-able-to-play-but-not-really-suspended” players, if they are not able to play this year due to the hearings next week can they use this as a redshirt year or is this a completely lost year like what happened to Golson? Also, what happened to the IBG this year?

I don’t think this is a salvageable year of eligibility for the guys, but I can’t be sure about that. I will ask, and if the answer is yes, I’ll let you guys know. It’s a tough break, but until we find out what the verdict is, we’re really only getting a fraction of the information.

As for the IBG, I don’t know if it’s still rolling. But go check out the other blogs! I stepped out, as it was difficult to get done every week, as the other commitments of this blog, my writing — and not to mention the day jobs of the other bloggers — made the timing difficult to work as an every Thursday feature.

 

ndgoldandblue: Do you think the changes to the offensive line will lead to better production (fewer sacks, more rushing yards) against the Orange, or will they experience some growing pains in their first game after making the switch?

I think it’ll work, especially in the running game. And while their might be a few growing pains, they better clear up rather quickly, with a tough Stanford front seven just around the corner.

(And let’s not kid ourselves, there were already quite a few growing pains with Elmer and Hanratty/Hegarty in the starting lineup, so I don’t think they’d make the move if they weren’t sure things would immediately get better.)

 

kazmar619: Is Cole Luke ready to play? Nobody talks about him but I believe he got hurt and left the game last week.

He underwent concussion testing and was cleared to practice. Kelly said he will play this weekend.

 

ndlv: Keith, one of the themes I keep reading about in recruiting this year is that ND is struggling to recruit defensive ends. Do you have any insight why this is? Is it that past blue chippers like Lynch and Tuitt left ND early? Is it due to the numbers recruited last year (even though none were 5 stars)? Or is it just one of those years where this happens to be the tough position to find recruits who are good fits for ND?

I think it was tough for Notre Dame to get any early momentum with defensive ends because nobody knew anything about Brian VanGorder’s system. He had spent one ugly year as Auburn’s program burned to the ground and otherwise had been in a variety of NFL jobs, taking a position coach spot with Rex Ryan.

But if I’m a great pass rusher I’m absolutely considering the Irish now, because you can watch guys like Kolin Hill and Andrew Trumbetti play immediately and see that door open for you as well.

I don’t think Lynch or Tuitt have anything to do with it. And let’s not close the door on the Irish landing some top guys. All-everything recruit Byron Cowart pushed back his decision timetable, a good sign for Notre Dame. And Utah’s Porter Gustin could walk in and be really productive. There are other guys Notre Dame is chasing that we probably don’t even know about, too.

 

blackirish23: Keith – All network executives know that the most coveted time slot for any show or event being televised is 8pm – 11pm. Does the recent trend of ND playing more night games send the message that ND Football is now back and a must see event?

They’ve been put in that time slot even when they stunk, an even better indicator as to how networks (and audiences) view a Notre Dame game. Try and think of the last non-home game (that wasn’t in Ireland) that was a day game?

Kelly actually complained about the logistics of playing non-stop night games for the students, a decent point considering Sunday is the team’s one day off and they aren’t usually getting home until the morning’s wee hours. But yeah, Notre Dame’s playing primetime and on national TV because they’re a big deal.

 

jommy995: In light if the Bill Simmons, ESPN, NFL story, can you tell us about your view of journalistic integrity and whether NBC’s relationship with ND affects anything you write?

Are you trying to get me fired? That’s a question covered with gasoline.

I’m just a guy that writes about Notre Dame football, so hardly a media expert. But I couldn’t duck this one, partially because the question sounds straight from Billy Madison.

My view on journalistic integrity? I am pro-journalistic integrity. Very pro.

Of course, I also understand what you are getting at, so that’s why I’m answering you seriously. I can honestly say that I’ve never been asked to write or not write anything, or edit/change any thought. I’ve never had to pull a punch or soften criticism. So if I’m accused of being a softy or a homer that’s on me, not my bosses.

I also don’t bother to hide that I’m a graduate of Notre Dame and that all things being equal, I’d prefer the Irish ended up being victors on Saturdays. People figure out writers’ bias all the time. I figure I’d rather just get mine out of the way.

But I feel strongly that I’ve never expressed an opinion on here that wasn’t mine. And the only time things got moderately murky was during a live chat I hosted with UND.com during Signing Day. During the Deontay Greenberry antics, because his letter of intent wasn’t received, there was a NCAA compliance question as to whether we could mention his name in chat.

But I went and published a story about the last-minute switch and just linked to it in the chat, and we moved on.

I can only hope that people who have read my work over the past five years feel the same way about my journalistic integrity as I do.

 

nicenirish: Keith. What is the problem with the offense getting the ball snapped on time? Since BK has taken over as coach I have never seen so many timeouts used or delay of game penalties. What is the problem there?

Did you watch the Davie or Willingham era? Might be a little hyperbole in this one.

 

nudeman: Not asking you to speculate on the fate of the Frozen 5. But since you’re an ND grad, I’ll ask this:
To what degree, if any, do you think ND is going out of its way to show that they are above this nuisance called “football”?

You got a little lengthy here, so I trimmed your question, but will address all parts of it. I can say in all honesty that I’m nearly certain this isn’t a matter of Notre Dame going out of their way to show that this is above “this nuisance called football.”

That said, I think this is taking too long. But I also think that — as Kelly said — this is a pretty complex situation, especially considering the potential for NCAA violations, a deep dive by the office of the general counsel, and now the fairly complex Honor Code process, especially if as DaVaris Daniels told ESPN, they were asking about emails from 2011.

I’ve spoken with multiple people who have served on an Honor Code committee at Notre Dame. This timeline didn’t feel that far off. My only nit to pick with this is that Father Jenkins and Jack Swarbrick decided to make an exception and name the five athletes. They made that exception to clear the rest of the athletes who didn’t cheat, but they also did it because it was an extraordinary circumstance that needed common sense.

Expediting this process requires that same common sense, especially considering other students don’t have to sit out their extra-curriculars while the Honor Code committee investigates and sitting out all but finds you guilty. Again, they are sitting out because of the NCAA particulars. But this is a situation that’s just totally brutal until it’s done… So get it done already.

Again, people trying to compare this to something else are going for something impossible. But I absolutely trust and respect the people making these decisions, even if I’m fairly critical of the process at this point.

 

frostedluckycharms: I am sure it was you who pointed out that Everett Golson was one of the bright spots in the NC game in 2012. He has looked more poised and confident in all 3 games so far this year. What does he have to do to become a serious contender for the Heisman? What happens to keep him out or remove him from the list? Can he play flawless football and NOT be considered? I for one would like to see someone gracious and mature win that award this year! Thanks!

Man, talking about the Heisman is such a time suck. But if ND keeps winning and Golson keeping playing really good football, he’ll be in the conversation. And I’m with you. Wouldn’t it be nice to see a guy that wins the statue not be a complete punk?

 

jerseyshorendfan1: Keith, I’m going to ask you to fill out a report card on Brian Kelly. I like him more now, 5 years into his tenure, than I did at first. I think he knows how to identify and coach up talent, can be an excellent motivator and is a winner and a great spokesman for the University. On the other hand, there are the personnel decisions and play calling which often leave many of us scratching our heads. What areas would you give Kelly an A+ in? Where, in your opinion, has he been merely satisfactory? Lastly, identify those areas where he may need some improvement.

I’m dodging about half of this question (it’s too long), and I’d have dodged it all if it wasn’t from you. But it’s hard to give Kelly anything but an A in my book. Here are my letter grades:

Defense: A
Offense: B-
Recruiting: A-
Program Building: A
Ability to live in Fish Bowl: A

Really, Kelly’s only struggles have been implementing an offense that fits what he wants to do, but that’s a product of quarterback issues that don’t match his personnel.

As for complaining about playcalls and in-game personnel decisions? That’s the lowest form of fandom, and reserved only for the live blog.

 

The lull of National Signing Day underscores need to move the early signing period

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The early-morning chaos of today’s National Signing Day did not disappear with the implementation of the December “early” signing period in the 2018 recruiting cycle. It just moved six weeks earlier.

In 2014, waking up at 6:45 a.m. ET to be logged on and publishing at 7 a.m. led to noticing one expected recruit had not yet signed with Notre Dame by 8 a.m. Pointing that out and reminding the world Michigan State was making a late push led to an Irish media relations staffer reaching out to quietly say something to the extent of, “Just letting the young man have his moment at school.”

In 2017, less than two weeks after taking over this gig, waking up at 3 a.m. CT to churn through 2,000 words before signings could begin becoming official eventually led to napping through Brian Kelly’s Signing Day press conference.

Nothing changed 10 months later. That December, the afternoon of Dec. 22, the Friday before Christmas, was spent waiting for receiver Braden Lenzy to officially choose Notre Dame over Oregon. Sitting at your parents’ kitchen table not helping your niece make a gingerbread house because recruiting-obsessed fans harassed a player through two de-commitments is not a strong way to conjure up holiday spirit.

Coaches across the country advocated for the earlier signing period, claiming it would allow high-school seniors to make their collegiate decisions official earlier on in their senior years, particularly when the prospects had already made up their minds on where to play football at the next level. That was all optics, if even that.

These high schoolers now make their decision official just six weeks earlier. In the preps football calendar, those six weeks are meaningless. Both the December signing period and today, the traditional National Signing Day, come well after the high-school seasons have ended.

The truth was, coaches across the country did not want to tend to their solid commitments over Christmas and New Year’s, particularly not amid bowl prep. It was self-serving at best and short-sighted at worst.

First of all, when the December signing period became reality in 2017, one-time transfers were not yet allowed without losing eligibility the following season. Secondly, no one predicted the early signing period would lead to the coaching carousel beginning earlier and earlier in the season. September firings used to be the result of only off-field scandals, not outright expected from half a dozen programs each fall. Athletic directors now want that headstart on hiring a new coach so he can have time before the December signing period commences.

Exhibit A: Notre Dame may have ended up with Marcus Freeman as its head coach after Brian Kelly’s abrupt departure following the 2021 season, but if the primary signing date had not been lingering just a few weeks away, Kelly likely would not have jumped to LSU before the College Football Playoff field was set, and Irish director of athletics Jack Swarbrick would have taken more time in choosing his next head coach, more than the 48 hours he used last December. After all, Swarbrick took 10 days in hiring Kelly in 2009.

Lastly, with a 12-team Playoff coming in 2025, December will become only more hectic.

Those head coaches who wanted a little less stress over the holidays will then have to deal with, in chronological order:

— Keeping their own jobs.
— Securing their recruiting classes in the days immediately preceding Christmas.
— Preparing their teams for bowl games.
— Preparing their teams for up to four games if in the Playoff.
— Re-recruiting any players considering entering the transfer portal before the winter window closes.
— Winning a bowl game.
— Retaining their coaching staffs.
— Oh, and celebrate the holidays with their families, as was their want when they hollered for the early signing period.

Most of those tasks are immutable and inherent to the sport.

But one can move. It already has once.

The logic is too clear. Nothing was gained in moving up the primary signing date by six weeks. And sanity was lost.

This is, of course, a sport that prefers to ignore logic, but usually that is charming. A mustard bottle on the field is quirky; lacking a worthwhile voice of authority is stubbornly stupid.

So the early signing period may not move as soon as it should (now), but it will move. There are no anti-trust worries tied to it, fortunately.

And aside from the logic, cramming more content into December costs the media, too. Spreading out that context through the vacuum of mid-January to mid-March will be much appreciated.

Leftovers & Links: An early look at Notre Dame’s seven commits in the class of 2024, including QB CJ Carr

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The traditional National Signing Day is this Wednesday, and for yet another year, Notre Dame has no intentions of inking any high-school recruits on the first Wednesday of February. The recruiting calendar has so changed that the Irish have not signed a recruit in February since 2021, when running back Logan Diggs pondered a late LSU push before doubling down on his Notre Dame commitment. Before that, not since 2019, when defensive end Isaiah Foskey publicly did so in order to be a part of his high school’s ceremonies.

Notre Dame turned its focus entirely onto the class of 2024 following December’s early signing period, when it inked a class of 24 players that ranks No. 9 in the country, per rivals.com.

Now with nearly 10 months to go before the next decision day to influence the narrative around Irish head coach Marcus Freeman’s recruiting focus, he already has pledges from seven players in the class of 2024. Class rankings this early in the cycle are rather meaningless, but for the sake of thoroughness, the Notre Dame class of 2024 is currently ranked No. 2 in the country, behind only Georgia with nine recruits pledged to date.

One player stands out among the early Irish seven. He stands out to such a degree this space broke from usual form when he committed in early June. To pull from that opening,

“This space has a general rule to not report on recruiting developments classes ahead of time. Worrying about the thoughts of high school seniors is enough of an oddity; focusing on juniors and underclassmen is outright absurd.

“But exceptions exist to prove rules, and Notre Dame landing the commitment of the No. 3 quarterback in the class of 2024 — prospects entering their junior years of high school — is such an exception.”

Consensus four-star quarterback CJ Carr is now only the No. 4 pro-style quarterback in the class and the No. 14 recruit overall, but he is the kind of key piece to a recruiting class that the Irish lacked in 2023, despite Freeman’s continued excellence hauling in defensive prospects. Carr has been an active and vocal recruiter on his own for Notre Dame, not an unusual occurrence from an early commit but a habit the Irish have not garnered out of a quarterback in quite some time. Even Tyler Buchner, due to both the pandemic and his own soft-spoken nature, was not the loudest campaigner among his peers.

RELATED READING: Notre Dame beats out Michigan for Lloyd Carr’s grandson, QB CJ Carr

At 6-foot-3, Carr looks the part of a prototypical quarterback, and his arm strength fits in line with that thought. He has downfield touch that would open up Notre Dame’s playbook in a way entirely unseen in 2022.

The other six early commitments to the Irish in the class of 2024 …

Consensus four-star running back Aneyas Williams (Hannibal High School; Mo.), ranked as the No. 1 all-purpose running back and No. 106 recruit in the class, per rivals.com: There will be many comparisons to former Notre Dame running back Kyren Williams when Aneyas Williams arrives on campus, and though they are from the same state, there is no relation. The younger Williams can do a bit of everything while his 5-foot-10 frame carries plenty of punch. He lacks truly elite speed, as Kyren did, but obviously that did not kept the elder Williams from cracking 1,000 yards in back-to-back seasons.

Consensus four-star receiver Cam Williams (Glenbard South H.S.; Glen Ellyn, Ill.), ranked as the No. 11 receiver and No. 102 recruit in the class: The Chicagoland product visited Iowa a handful of times and took looks at Michigan and Wisconsin, seemingly intent on staying in the Midwest. Williams has all the fundamentals wanted of a receiver, 6-foot-2 size combined with a comfort catching the ball. Time will reveal what part of his game, if any, develops into his specialty.

Consensus four-star tight end Jack Larsen (Charlotte Catholic; N.C.), ranked as the No. 7 tight end and No. 187 recruit in the class: Whether Larsen will be the next piece of “Tight End U” or not is a premature thought, but at 6-foot-3 and an ability to snag passes downfield over defenders, Larsen already looks the part. Credit a basketball background for that aerial ability.

Four-star offensive guard Peter Jones (Malvern Prep; Penn.), ranked as the No. 4 offensive guard and No. 99 recruit in the class: Jones plays tackle in high school, nearly an absolute requirement for any offensive line prospect chased by Irish offensive line coach Harry Hiestand, but his playing style suggests a future on the inside of the line.

Consensus four-star defensive tackle Owen Wafle (Hun School; Princeton, N.J.), ranked as the No. 10 defensive tackle in the class: Pronounced like playful, not waffle, Wafle should add weight to his 6-foot-3, 235-pound frame as he grows from a high-school junior into a college player. That may seem obvious, but the quality of that weight he adds in the next 20 months will be what most determines how quickly he can contribute in South Bend.

Consensus three-star cornerback Karson Hobbs (Archbishop Moeller; Cincinnati): Anyone committed right now has made a decision relatively early in the recruiting cycle, yet Hobbs was committed to South Carolina for three months before he flipped to Notre Dame in early November. Seeking out a committed three-star more than a year before he can officially sign may strike one as foolish, but Irish cornerbacks coach Mike Mickens has earned some leeway in his evaluations, given the early impacts of Benjamin Morrison and Jaden Mickey in 2022.

INSIDE THE IRISH
Ohio State, Clemson & Pittsburgh hurt most by early NFL draft entrants among Notre Dame’s opponents
40 Preseason Predictions Revisited, part I: Notre Dame’s rushing offense hid many early struggles
Part II: Notre Dame’s upset losses should have been expected from a first-year head coach
Part III: Notre Dame’s November far from the expected disappointment
Part IV: Notre Dame’s 2022 ended where it was always expected to

OUTSIDE READING
How QB Sam Hartman found trouble with turnovers in 2022
College QB Austin Reed got transfer portal offers comparable to late-round NFL draft picks
I requested my Notre Dame admissions file
Boston College, offensive coordinator John McNulty parting ways after 2022 struggles
Hamlin’s injury highlights precarious position of many young N.F.L. players
On the Broncos’ head-coaching finalists
Bally Sports RSNs headed for bankruptcy
Auditor: LSU overpaid Brian Kelly by more than $1M in 2022

40 Preseason Predictions Revisited, part IV: Notre Dame’s 2022 ended where it was always expected to

TaxSlayer Gator Bowl - Notre Dame v South Carolina
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Notre Dame did not get there in any way expected, but the Irish season ended about where anticipated in the preseason. Psychological studies could spend hours disagreeing if it would have been better for Notre Dame to go 10-3 with its three losses coming to three top-10 teams or if a 9-4 season with a top-10 upset is better for Marcus Freeman’s program in the long-term.

But either scenario was going to end with the Irish in the Gator Bowl, a likelihood as far back as August.

To finish this recap of 40 preseason predictions

32) “A freshman defensive back will intercept a pass this season, becoming just the second freshman to do so” since 2017. Notre Dame’s defensive backfields have been far from liabilities during this resurgence since the 2016 faceplant, but they have lacked young playmakers, Kyle Hamilton aside.

Enter Benjamin Morrison and not one, not two, not three … but six interceptions in his freshman season. Unfortunately for your prognosticator, that does not equal six correct predictions. (15.5/32)

33) “The spread when the Irish visit the Trojans will be more than a field goal but less than a touchdown.” And indeed, USC was favored by four when Notre Dame visited the weekend after Thanksgiving, in what may have been the last visit the weekend after Thanksgiving. Logic says the Irish and Trojans will continue playing regularly, but USC’s joining the Big Ten in 2024 could change the timing of the meetings, and NCAA rule changes have removed Notre Dame’s want to be on the West Coast that particular week.

The Irish used to disperse their coaches from Washington to Arizona to recruit the Pacific time zone immediately after the season-ending game in California. In a literal sense, it saved those coaches 12-24 hours to not have to travel to Seattle or Phoenix from South Bend, particularly vital in a crucial recruiting window.

But now, the days after Thanksgiving are a dead period, so the coaches cannot make those visits. They flew back with the team this year.

Combine that with the Big Ten flux and perhaps Notre Dame starts heading to USC at a different point in the calendar in 2024. (16.5/33)

34) “USC will not make the College Football Playoff.”

Between this, suggesting Ohio State would make the Playoff and mistakenly thinking Clemson would, as well, these preseason predictions accurately predicted the season conclusions for two of the three biggest Irish opponents in 2022. Already suspect the 2023 version will include none of the three making the Playoff. (17.5/34)

35) Sophomore receiver Lorenzo Styles’ disappointing 2022 — 30 catches for 340 yards and one touchdown — cost him any semblance of NFL draft buzz a year before he is eligible for the draft. A breakout 2023 would obviously change that, but that was not the prediction. (17.5/35)

36) Blake Grupe fell two makes short of the predicted 80 percent field-goal rate, finishing at 73.7 percent on 14-of-19. A career 74.4 percent kicker before he arrived at Notre Dame, the Arkansas State graduate transfer’s 2022 fell in line with his career. (17.5/36)

37) Arguing Notre Dame would score fewer than 32.8 points per game in 2022 was based on the lack of depth at receiver, subsequently underscored by Styles’ struggles. Expecting the Irish to slow things down made a lower-scoring season a strong thought, though perhaps not as low as the 31.4 scored per game in 2018, the low of the last six years.

Notre Dame threaded that needle with 31.8 points per game, a number buoyed, though not shockingly, by the punt-block unit and Morrison’s contributions. (18.5/37)

38) The Irish had gone 54-10 in Brian Kelly’s final five years in South Bend, winning at least 10 games each year. Predicting a sixth season of double-digit wins was a mistake largely thanks to Audric Estimé’s fumble in the fourth quarter against Stanford. (18.5/38)

39) This final stretch of predictions focused on hitting a few tight windows. The spread against USC, the exact scoring average and … where Notre Dame would play in a bowl game.

“Notre Dame will play in Florida before New Year’s.”

As complicated as bowl scenarios get during the season and then even the week of selections with the Holiday Bowl in San Diego reportedly campaigning hard for the Irish, sticking with initial expectations would have been a smart travel-planning strategy. (19.5/39)

40) 

(20.5/40)

40 Preseason Predictions Revisited, part I: Notre Dame’s rushing offense hid many early struggles
Part II: Notre Dame’s upset losses should have been expected from a first-year head coach
Part III: Notre Dame’s November far from the expected disappointment

40 Preseason Predictions Revisited, part III: Notre Dame’s November far from the expected disappointment

Clemson v Notre Dame
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Recapping these preseason predictions bit by bit has emphasized how much of a see-saw Notre Dame’s 2022 was. They expected decent Irish success at Ohio State to open the season, which was realized. They then plainly assumed Notre Dame would continue to wallop overmatched opponents as Brian Kelly made the default.

Instead, Marcus Freeman stubbed his toe twice as first-year head coaches are wont to do, rendering that stretch of predictions largely flawed.

Now, the predictions tilt into early November, expecting little from the Irish. Of course, that was exactly when Freeman delivered the defining moment of his debut campaign.

21) “Notre Dame will top last year’s 41 sacks, which was a Kelly Era high. The Ademilola twins, junior defensive end Rylie Mills and at least one linebacker will each make at least three sacks.”

The first part of that fell inarguably short, 38 clearly less than 41. But the next sentence held more merit. Defensive end Justin Ademiloa and twin brother tackle Jayson Ademilola each had three sacks while Mills added 3.5. No linebacker reached three unless willing to still count Jordan Botelho as a linebacker with his 4.5 sacks. Given two of those came in the Gator Bowl when Botelho was clearly a defensive end, that would be generous grading. Instead, this entire prediction should be considered wrong, alas. (12/21)

22) Did this space continue publishing as planned after the Minnesota Timberwolves home opener? The running content calendar says a “Leftovers & Links” column ran on Oct. 20, the day after. Take the wins where you can find them, especially as a Timberwolves fan. (13/22)

23) The Irish had won 25 straight regular-season games against ACC opponents entering the season. Predicting that would reach 27 meant predicting Notre Dame would beat North Carolina and Syracuse. Check and check. (14/23)

24) That did not push the Irish into the top 10 of the initial College Football Playoff rankings, as predicted, thanks to the mishaps against Marshall and Stanford. (14/24)

25) And here comes a stretch of predictions predicated in pessimism, focused on how Notre Dame would fare against Clemson. The Irish had won 16 straight games in November entering the 2022 season. Suggesting that would end at 16 was suggesting Notre Dame would lose to Clemson on the first weekend of November.

Rather, that was the win in Freeman’s first season that will be long remembered. (14/25)

26) That expected loss was based on Clemson’s defensive front holding Notre Dame’s ground game in check. There was no expectation the Irish would dominate there with 264 rushing yards on 46 carries after adjusting for a single one-yard sack. Logan Diggs ran for 114 yards on 17 carries while Audric Estimé took 18 rushes for 104 yards. (14/26)

27) That loss did not knock Clemson out of the College Football Playoff. The Tigers messing around and finding out against South Carolina did that. But regardless, predicting Clemson would return to the Playoff was ill-fated. (14/27)

28) Notre Dame was 30-1 in its last 31 home games entering the season. Predicting that would reach 35-2 in step with suggesting the Irish would lose to the Tigers was wrong in all sorts of ways, most notably in that the stretch is now 34-3 after Notre Dame went just 4-2 at home last season. Again, Marshall and Stanford. (14/28)

29) Boston College receiver Zay Flowers did not have the predicted 40-yard catch on Senior Day at Notre Dame Stadium. He had a long of 39 yards on a snow-covered field playing with a backup quarterback.

The spirit of the prognostication was valid, but alas. (14/29)

30) Former Irish tight end George Takacs did not catch a touchdown in his return with the Eagles. No one did. (14/30)

31) And former Notre Dame quarterback Phil Jurkovec did not have a “perfectly adequate day in his return to South Bend, not dramatic enough in any regard to confirm or deny anyone’s expectations for him that day.”

Jurkovec did not play at all, so let’s call this wager a push. He did, however, make some headlines from the sideline.

There is a strong chance this prediction is rerun in its entirety in 2023 with Jurkovec and Pittsburgh heading to South Bend on Oct. 28. (14.5/31)