Notre Dame’s Opponents: Irish schedule continues slide toward mediocrity

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Another USC quarterback injured, another dud from Michigan, another paltry showing from Stanford. Of those expected to fill the second half of Notre Dame’s schedule with challenges, they all seem to be falling further and further away from preseason projections.

These things can always change, but No. 18 Virginia (3:30 ET; NBC) certainly looks to be the toughest Irish opponent remaining.

Louisville (2-2): After falling behind 21-0 in the first quarter at Florida State, the Cardinals took a 24-21 lead early in the fourth quarter. They had all the momentum and familiar second-half struggles were seemingly shutting down the Seminoles, until Louisville gave up a 60-yard touchdown pass to Florida State backup quarterback and Wisconsin transfer Alex Hornibrook. The Seminoles added an insurance touchdown in the closing minutes of a 35-24 victory.

Of the Cardinals’ eight remaining foes, only in-state rival Kentucky does not have a winning record, sitting at 2-2. Louisville gets an off week to begin preparing for that stretch of presumed struggles.

New Mexico (2-1): The Lobos got 355 passing yards and three touchdowns from starting quarterback Tevaka Tuioti in his 2019 debut after missing much of the preseason to spend time with his ailing grandfather. Even with Tuioti’s explosion, New Mexico barely held off rival New Mexico State in a 55-52 victory, nearly blowing a 55-38 lead in the fourth quarter.

Much like Louisville, life is about to get much more difficult for the Lobos, starting with a trip to Liberty (6 ET; ESPN+) as 7.5-point underdogs as of early Wednesday morning. A combined point total over/under of 71 implies a 39-32 conclusion. New Mexico is unlikely to pull off such an upset, but it may keep things closer than that forecast touchdown, in part thanks to Tuioti.

Georgia (4-0): The No. 3 Bulldogs get a week to savor their victory over Notre Dame. Both their secondary and their offensive line are presumably grateful for the time, given multiple injuries limiting both units Saturday night.

Virginia (4-0): The No. 18 Cavaliers spotted Old Dominion a 17-0 lead before ticking off 28 unanswered points in a 28-17 victory. Looking at the box score, it is a bit hard to believe Virginia won, as it was outgained by 26 yards, committed two more penalties for 30 additional yards, averaged 2.4 yards per rush and had only 24:44 of possession. Then again, the Cavaliers won the turnover battle, held the Monarchs to 1.5 yards per rush and put three short fields to good use.

Virginia will next arrive in South Bend as not only underdogs for the first time this season, but as sizable 12.5-point underdogs. A point total over/under of 49 suggests respect for Bronco Mendenhall’s defensive schemes, and deservedly so. But coming off the loss in Athens, the Irish would not mind a 31-18 victory, even if devoid of true offensive fireworks.

Bowling Green (1-3): Few mistake Kent State as good this year, picked fourth in its MAC division in a preseason media poll. Yet, the Golden Flashes hung 62 points on the Falcons in a 62-20 rout. Now ready for the real WOW stat? Brace yourself …

Brian VanGorder’s defense gave up 750 yards of offense to Kent State, including 375 yards on 31-of-36 passing. If your mind has drifted to Oct. 5, that is only natural.

Bowling Green’s minds are already drifting to that afternoon, as well, with a weekend off between now and then.

Trojans junior quarterback Matt Fink led USC to a pivotal win at Utah in injury relief for freshman Kedon Slovis, who himself began the season as the backup to sophomore JT Daniels before Daniels tore his ACL. (Photo by Meg Oliphant/Getty Images)

USC (3-1): Trojans freshman quarterback Kedon Slovis took a rough hit on Friday night’s first drive, suffering a concussion. In stepped junior Matt Fink to the tune of 351 yards and three touchdowns in a 30-23 upset at No. 10 Utah, thus bumping USC back into the AP poll at No. 21. The hype has since praised Fink to no end, ignoring the fact that many of his biggest plays were ugly throws, snatched away from Utah defenders by his athletic receivers. Better safety play from the Utes could have easily flipped the result.

With Slovis not yet cleared, Fink will take those risks to No. 17 Washington (3:30 ET; FOX) as a 10-point underdog. If Chris Petersen has shown a penchant for anything, it is developing defensive backs. This will be a chance to prove that true once again, keeping the Trojans well short of their expected 25 points courtesy of a 59-point over/under.

Michigan (2-1): Frankly, the Wolverines’ 35-14 loss to Wisconsin was not as close as the score indicates, with the Badgers getting out to a 35-0 lead before easing up. They had absolutely no trouble running through Don Brown’s defense, gaining 359 yards on 57 carries, a 6.3 yards per rush average. Michigan, meanwhile, gained 40 yards on 19 rush attempts.

The Wolverines now get a reprieve courtesy of a visit from Rutgers (12 ET; BTN). If Michigan wants to hold onto its No. 20 ranking, it will have to live up to a 27.5-point spread in its favor, simply because public perception is already tilting so quickly away from Jim Harbaugh & Co. A 48-point over/under indicates a 38-10 result.

Virginia Tech (2-1); Duke (2-1): Both the Hokies and the Blue Devils had idle weeks before their coming Friday night matchup (7 ET; ESPN). The bookmakers favor Virginia Tech, the home team, by three points with a 51.5 over/under making for a 27-24 expected result. There are worse ways to spend a Friday night than watching Ryan Willis and Quentin Harris match touchdowns.

Navy (2-0): How about some Thursday night football? The Midshipmen will head to Memphis (8 ET; ESPN) as 11-point underdogs with an over/under of 53.5. That math points to a 32-21 conclusion. Fun fact: Since joining the AAC entering the 2015 season, Navy has been an underdog against Memphis every year, and covered that spread all four years, including three outright victories. It should be noted, Mike Norvell has been the Tigers’ head coach for the last three of those four seasons.

Boston College (2-1): The Eagles recovered from the worst loss of Steve Addazio’s seven years with a 30-16 win at Rutgers, led by junior running back AJ Dillon’s 150 yards and two touchdowns on 32 carries. Boston College rushed for 277 yards total while giving up only 76.

Now it faces an offense more keen on the pass, and Wake Forest (3:30 ET; ACCN) has been exceptionally efficient in that aspect of the game, part of why the Deacons are 6.5-point favorites with an over/under of 69 points. If for no other reason than deference to Wake Forest’s offense, averaging 38 points per game, let’s expect this to go beyond a 38-31 ending.

Stanford (1-3): The last time the Cardinal began a season 1-3? Jim Harbaugh’s first season, 2007, a year that ended at 4-8. Thanks to a 21-6 loss to No. 16 Oregon, that is the situation Stanford finds itself in once again.

A dozen years ago, those three losses came against teams ranked Nos. 14, 13 and 23. This season, they have come against Nos. 17 and 16, as well as then-unranked USC, who used that victory to debut in the top 25.

This story will not continue on the same path as that one, partly due to a lack of opportunity. In 2007, the Cardinal next sprung one of the biggest upsets in college football history with a 24-23 victory at No. 2 USC. This time around, they travel to lowly Oregon State (7 ET; Pac 12 Network) as four-point favorites in a game projected to finish 31-27. It will not be as dramatic, but it is just as needed a win for Stanford as it was in 2007.

 

Drew Pyne to transfer from Notre Dame; Tyler Buchner reportedly a bowl possibility

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Notre Dame may start its third quarterback of the season in its bowl game after junior Drew Pyne announced he will transfer from the program on Friday. A graduate, Pyne has three seasons of eligibility remaining.

ESPN’s Pete Thamel first reported Pyne’s intention to transfer, with Pyne soon thereafter taking to Twitter to confirm as much.

“One of my proudest honors is to have been a student-athlete at the University of Notre Dame,” Pyne wrote. “… It’s time for me to take on a new challenge, and I will be entering the transfer portal.”

Pyne took over as the Irish starter after sophomore Tyler Buchner suffered a season-ending shoulder injury in the second week of the season. Pyne went 8-2 as a starter, completing 64.6 percent of his passes for 2,021 yards and 22 touchdowns this season.

His final action at Notre Dame may have been Pyne’s best game of his career, throwing for 318 yards and three touchdowns at USC while completing 23 of 26 passes, the second-most accurate game in Irish history.

He appeared in two games in 2021, stepping in for Jack Coan when he struggled against Wisconsin and Cincinnati. Keeping Pyne to minimal appearances in 2021 was intentional, preserving a season of eligibility for him.

That eligibility will now be used elsewhere.

Without Pyne, Notre Dame will have freshman Steve Angeli and possibly Buchner available in the bowl game, a location and opponent to be announced on Sunday. Football Scoop’s John Brice reported Friday afternoon that Buchner will play in the bowl game, though perhaps that optimism should be measured throughout practice this month.

Regardless, the Irish are expected to pursue an incoming transfer quarterback this month. With names like Texas’ Hudson Card and Virginia’s Brennan Armstrong already in the transfer portal, Notre Dame will have a few options to chase.

That is why Pyne’s transfer makes sense, even if he spoke earnestly about the bowl game following that 38-27 loss in Los Angeles.

“I think we have a lot to play for,” he said. “We’re going to be in a bowl game, I want to send all the seniors out the right way. We have a lot to play for. We have another game, I’m going to prepare as hard as I can for that and finish the season off on a positive note.”

Reversing course from those words is understandable given they came minutes after a competitive game, and the last week has shown Pyne how quickly the quarterback transfer market will move.

In the game of musical chairs that is quarterbacks moving across the country, Pyne waiting until after the bowl game to transfer could serve only to leave him with fewer destinations as options. Not that Pyne may have been looking at Iowa, but the fact that one Power Five starting gig appears to have already been filled by Michigan transfer Cade McNamara presumably underscored the rapid nature of this process.

Understandably, Pyne needs to make the most of this opportunity, coming off a strong season as Notre Dame’s starter but knowing he is unlikely to start for the Irish in 2023. Depending on the level of transfer joining the Irish and Buchner’s health, it was distinctly possible Pyne would be Notre Dame’s third quarterback next year.

For someone who grew up as a Notre Dame fan, specifically a Brady Quinn fan, assuredly this decision was not an easy one for Pyne.

He had a lengthy and notable offer sheet coming out of high school, but Pyne at his best this season would not draw interest from the likes of Texas A&M, Alabama and LSU as he did three years ago. It may be more pertinent to point out he is a Connecticut native, so schools in the northeast could be most logical for his landing spot.

The Irish should also have quarterback commit Kenny Minchey in the pecking order this spring, expected to sign with Notre Dame on Dec. 21 when the early signing period begins.

RELATED READING: Notre Dame’s QB room creates a friendly trust that has been crucial to Pyne’s success
Notre Dame 99-to-0: No. 10 Drew Pyne, junior quarterback

Notre Dame adds a fourth receiver commit to recruiting class, helping a roster need

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Notre Dame is addressing its most glaring roster deficiency with a numbers approach. The Irish had only five true scholarship receivers for much of this season, a number they will nearly match in next year’s freshman class alone after adding a fourth receiver commitment on Thursday. Consensus three-star receiver Kaleb Smith (Rick Reedy High School; Frisco, Texas) announced he will join Notre Dame’s class, and he should sign with the Irish on Dec. 21 when the early signing period begins.

Smith was committed to Texas Tech for more than nine months before he backed off that pledge in early November. Marcus Freeman does not welcome official visitors who are committed to other programs, so if Smith wanted to take an official visit to South Bend to watch Notre Dame play Clemson, he needed to open up his recruitment.

The Irish 35-13 win against the then-No. 4 Tigers assuredly helped tip the scales away from his homestate Texas Tech.

Otherwise, Smith has hardly been recruited by anyone. The only other Power Five program to chase him was Baylor when current Notre Dame receivers coach Chansi Stuckey was there.

Listed at only 6-foot and 168 pounds, it is easy to pencil in Smith as a slot receiver, but he is also willing to go up in the air to get the ball. His highlight footage features him repeatedly and astonishingly open.

His size, or lack thereof, will make Smith unique among the quartet of incoming signees. By snagging four receivers in this class, the Irish are proactively fixing an undeniable roster problem. In last year’s Fiesta Bowl, Notre Dame had only four receivers available. Through most of this season, in part due to injuries to Avery Davis and Joe Wilkins, the Irish had a total of six receivers available, including former walk-on Matt Salerno.

While Braden Lenzy will not return for the Irish in 2023, current sophomores Jayden Thomas, Deion Colzie and Lorenzo Styles should all come back, along with current freshman Tobias Merriweather. With these four commitments, a position group of eight may allow Notre Dame to have a genuine two-deep.

If signing four receivers in a class and seven in two years seems like an unsustainable influx, keep in mind two things. First of all, the Irish desperately need to find receiver depth. Lenzy was famously and admittedly exhausted at the end of that Fiesta Bowl faceplant 11 months ago. One more injury this season would have further crippled Notre Dame’s passing game in 2022. Secondly, the one-time transfer allowance will make departures from the program both more common and more alluring to the players. Natural attrition will occur.

RELATED READING: A third four-star receiver commitment, Jaden Greathouse, elevates Notre Dame’s class of 2023 from good to Great
Four-star receiver Rico Flores Jr.’s commitment gives Notre Dame some receiver hope for 2023
Four-star Texas receiver Braylon James gives Notre Dame needed offensive piece in class of 2023

CB Cam Hart out for Notre Dame’s bowl game, but will return in 2023

Notre Dame v North Carolina
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Perhaps earlier than expected, Notre Dame has already received good news this offseason. Senior cornerback Cam Hart will return for a fifth year in South Bend, though he will not put on pads for the Irish in any bowl game, he announced Tuesday evening.

“Due to a shoulder injury that I sustained during the Boston College Game [sic], I could not participate in our final regular season game and will not be able to participate in this year’s bowl game,” Hart wrote on Twitter. “Consequently, I believe my time here isn’t necessarily complete. Choosing to attend the University of Nore Dame has been the best decision I’ve ever made in my entire life.

“In light of that, I’ve decided to return for a fifth season and look forward to taking the field with my brothers in 2023!”

Hart’s 2023 return should give the Irish four returning cornerbacks with starting experience, only fifth-year nickel back Tariq Bracy a notable departure from this year’s cornerbacks group.

Note: The use of “should” is not meant to imply anything about other possibilities. The conditional verb is chosen as recognition of the constantly changing rosters in college football in 2022.

Hart took part in Notre Dame’s Senior Day festivities before facing Boston College, which suggested he was at least considering jumping to the NFL. This quick announcement indicates the injury ruled out that thought process, though the injury had plagued him at points earlier in the season.

A shoulder injury first flared up for Hart this year in the spring of 2022, costing him spring practices. A concern had previously cost him some of 2019, as he adapted from playing receiver in high school. He nonetheless played in 11 games in 2022, starting 10 and making 25 tackles with three for loss and breaking up four passes.

His passes defensed fell from nine in 2021, along with two interceptions, in part because opposing quarterbacks were less enticed to test the increasingly-experienced cornerback. His 6-foot-2 ½ length made Hart something just short of a shutdown cornerback.

With current freshman Benjamin Morrison surging to close this season and classmate Jaden Mickey stepping in for Hart at USC, Notre Dame should enjoy a plethora of tested cornerbacks in 2023. (Current junior Clarence Lewis is the aforementioned fourth.)

In many respects, this will allow the Irish defense to begin the 2023 season with the same calm it had in 2022, when Hart, Lewis and Bracy provided experienced pass defense.

“You have three older veteran corners that can really play at any moment, which makes you feel good,” head coach Marcus Freeman said in August. “Those three guys can play those two corner spots and I don’t feel there will be a drop off with any of them.”

There are a few key decisions left on Notre Dame’s defense — most notably, defensive end Justin Ademilola and safety Brandon Joseph could return in 2023 — but most of them may come after any Irish bowl game. Hart’s choice was presumably expedited by his apparent exclusion from the bowl game due to this injury.

HART CAREER STATISTICS
2020: 8 games; 3 tackles, 2 passes defended.
2021: 13 games, 10 starts; 42 tackles with four for loss, 9 passes defended and two interceptions.
2022: 11 games, 10 starts; 25 tackles with three for loss, 4 passes defended.

RELATED READING: Notre Dame 99-to-0: No. 5 Cam Hart, senior cornerback, second-year starter

Things We Learned: Notre Dame’s offensive shortcomings again highlighted by an explosive counterpart

COLLEGE FOOTBALL: NOV 26 Notre Dame at USC
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There are two ways to look at USC’s 38-27 win against Notre Dame on Saturday, and they both tie back to the Trojans’ being the best Irish measuring stick.

USC beat Notre Dame in a way that underscores how short-handed the Irish always were this season. When Trojans quarterback Caleb Williams began to cement his status as the Heisman frontrunner with a performance that will be long remembered, Notre Dame had no way to consistently counter him.

“We didn’t stop them,” Irish head coach Marcus Freeman said simply enough.

Without the offensive skill position players needed to match Williams’ explosive play for explosive play, Notre Dame needed its defense to play perfectly, clearly an unfair ask against a Lincoln Riley offense.

“USC is a great team,” Irish quarterback Drew Pyne said. “That was a really good team we played out there. They’re going to go on and do great things for the rest of their season. Caleb Williams is a great player.”

If the Irish had not had junior tight end Michael Mayer — eight catches on nine targets for 98 yards and two touchdowns — they may not have been able to stay in even vague distance of the Trojans. Three heaves to Deion Colzie gained 75 yards and three first downs, but each felt like Pyne was hoping more than anything else.

Notre Dame still made it a game, but the discrepancy in offensive playmakers stood out in Los Angeles on Saturday night.

And while both programs will undergo some turnover — most notably Mayer for the Irish; receiver Jordan Addison and running back Austin Jones will both likely be at the next level next year, among Trojans’ contributors this weekend — Notre Dame will need to close that gap to compete with USC next season.

The variance of a schedule may keep the Irish from too staunchly improving on their 8-4 record this year, but a certainty is that Williams will be ready to dazzle again in South Bend on Oct. 14, 2023.

Notre Dame right now does not have the offensive firepower to keep up with such a dynamic attack. As soon as the Irish gifted the Trojans chances to take a lead, their running game was mitigated and Notre Dame’s best hopes were reduced to Mayer and those heaves to Colzie.

Williams can dance his way through any defense, perhaps shy of Georgia’s. Even if the Irish secondary had been fully healthy, Williams’ rhythmic scrambles still would have broken down the defense. If Utah helms him in this weekend, it may be as much due to a USC letdown as it is to any Utes’ scheme. His stardom is an extreme, but this is college football in 2022, again aside from Georgia.

Many will instinctively point to Pyne’s shortcomings, ignoring how well he played in the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. He made two mistakes, yes, but one of them (the cross-body interception) came as Notre Dame was more and more desperate and the other (the fumbled exchange) was in part a result of the Irish abandoning their ground game as they fell further behind.

Pyne finished 23-of-26 for 318 yards and three touchdowns. Every version of breaking down those stats yields praise for Pyne. A reality of a loss and a reality when the opposing quarterback broke through as a national star, no time was spent in postgame press conferences discussing Pyne’s efficient night.

But it was, regardless.

His final incompletion, the interception from Notre Dame’s own red zone, also overshadowed the second-most accurate day in Irish passing history, but it was an understandable mistake. Notre Dame was trailing by two scores with only five minutes remaining. Wasting a play on a throwaway was low on Pyne’s priority list.

If Pyne had established more of a season-long rapport with Colzie, maybe he sees him down the left sideline as highlighted by Kirk Herbstreit on the broadcast. If Braden Lenzy is a bit less worn down by a season-long receiver shortage, maybe he is able to charge into Pyne’s ill-advised pass rather than try to settle in for a low catch. If … maybe, if … maybe.

Only twice this season has USC managed as few as 31 genuine points — discounting the short-field touchdown in the final three minutes courtesy of Pyne’s pick, though not all that necessary given the Trojans fell short of 40 points just twice in their first 11 games. Oregon State and Washington State had the luxuries of facing Williams before he had reached the peak of his powers with this new, transfer-obtained complement of receivers.

The Irish defense did its part against USC. Notre Dame’s offense just could not match the star of the season.

Williams will star again next year. The Irish defense will most likely still be stout. Those truths this season will carry over. Notre Dame then has to wonder only if its offense can develop and/or find more playmakers, a known need this entire season and now the pressing concern entering the offseason, a need emphasized by the Trojans’ offense, the foe that should again define 2023.