Notre Dame’s Opponents: The rise of Michigan and Stanford

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Two of Notre Dame’s remaining opponents saw a quarterback change this weekend, one by choice and one by injury. The choice played well, albeit inefficiently, while the injury replacement showed why he was the backup quarterback in the first place.

Louisville (3-2): The Cardinals logged their first ACC win since 2017 by beating Boston College, 41-39, thanks to a field goal with 62 seconds left. Sophomore quarterback Malik Cunningham threw for 288 yards and a touchdown on 13-of-18 passing while adding 43 yards and another score on six rushing attempts. As well as the offense played with Cunningham at the reins, gaining 664 total yards, Louisville’s defense played nearly as badly, giving up 563 total yards.

That kind of defensive performance will keep the Cardinals mired in mediocrity the rest of the season, if that. Looking at their remaining seven opponents, Louisville would be favored against only one at this point in the year, at NC State on Nov. 16). This weekend, the Cardinals are 6.5-point underdogs at No. 19 Wake Forest (7:30 ET; ACCN) with a combined point total over/under of 65 as of Tuesday evening. Quick math makes that out to be a 36-29 conclusion, but given that assessment of Louisville’s defense and the Deacons’ scoring average of 35.8 points, both the Wake Forest team total over and the Deacons to win by more than a touchdown could be considered likelihoods.

New Mexico (2-3): The Lobos lost 32-21 at San Jose State, arguably impressive considering they trailed 26-0 in the second quarter. Six turnovers ruined New Mexico’s night more than anything else, as one would expect.

The Lobos now host Colorado State (8 ET on Friday; CBSSN) as 3.5-point underdogs. What stands out there is that the spread opened with the Rams favored by a full touchdown. The 65.5-point over/under suggests a 34-31 result.

Bulldogs junior quarterback Jake Fromm has hardly had to sweat the second half of games this season, with Georgia being tested by only Notre Dame thus far, but he has still racked up 1,076 passing yards with a 77.5 percent completion rate. (Photo by Silas Walker/Getty Images)

Georgia (5-0): The No. 3 Bulldogs had little trouble with Tennessee, scoring the final 33 points of a 43-14 victory. Junior quarterback Jake Fromm put together another efficient performance by throwing for 288 yards and two touchdowns on 24-of-29 passing. Frankly, Georgia will not be tested again until Nov. 2 against No. 7 Florida.

That dismissiveness includes scoffing at the 24.5-point line in the Bulldogs’ favor against South Carolina (12 ET; ESPN). A 52.5-point over/under leads to a 38-14 projection, but Georgia’s average of 42.8 points per game makes this a situation similar to the Wake Forest one above.

Virginia (4-1): The No. 20 Cavaliers moved up three spots in the AP poll while resting with their feet up after their loss to Notre Dame. They now head to Miami as 1.5-point underdogs, something of a surprise considering how the Hurricanes’ weekend went (more on that in a bit). The over/under of 45 may not hint at an entertaining final, but the closing moments of a 23-22 ending should include some drama (8ET, Friday; ESPN).

Bowling Green (1-4): The Falcons will look to rebound from their loss to the Irish against Toledo, but bookmakers simply expect another rout. As 26-point underdogs in a game with an over/under of 64.5, Bowling Green could be on the wrong side of a 45-19 scoreboard.

USC (3-2): The Trojans had an idle week, so let’s offer a refresher of their loss two weeks ago and underscore the issue they had then. USC fell 28-14 at then-No. 17 Washington, even though it was outgained by only two yards. Junior quarterback Matt Fink threw for 163 yards and one touchdown on 19-of-32 passing. Three of those 13 incompletions were actually caught … by Huskies defenders. That is how you counteract rushing for 212 yards on 33 carries, a 6.4 yards per attempt average.

Trojans freshman quarterback Kedon Slovis will be back behind center this weekend, cleared from the effects of a concussion. Nonetheless, No. 10 Notre Dame (7:30 ET; NBC) is favored by 11 points with an over/under of 57.5. A 34-23 midnight Irish triumph would certainly keep this season heading toward the Cotton Bowl.

Michigan (4-1): The No. 16 Wolverines slogged past then-No. 14 Iowa, 10-3. Michigan took a 10-0 lead in the first quarter, and neither team scored in the second half. As mundane as the scoring or lack thereof was, the Wolverines gained all of 267 total yards while giving up just 261. The Hawkeyes took 30 rushing attempts for one single yard while turning over the ball four times. Admittedly, such paint-drying-esque football was a theme this weekend across the country. To pull from an email exchange with a superior …

Him: “Does that count as a win? Or just 3 hours of everyone’s life they’d rather have back?”
Me: “Could pretty much be said of the entire sport this weekend.”

Not that Michigan’s heartbeat will accelerate this weekend heading to Illinois (12 ET; ABC) as 21.5-point favorites. While a 49.5-point over/under indicates the Wolverines should win 35-14, it is not utterly absurd to think they will score more than that, considering they hung 52 on Rutgers and the Illini are not all that much better than the Scarlet Knights.

It remains to be seen if Virginia Tech will stick with sophomore quarterback Hendon Hooker after benching senior Ryan Willis last week, but if the reason for the change was Willis’ carelessness with the ball, then Hooker did nothing to warrant a switch back. (Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images)

Virginia Tech (3-2): Remember that passing reference to Miami’s weekend? The Hokies won at Hard Rock Stadium, 42-35. Virginia Tech led 28-0 before the Hurricanes stormed (no apologies) back to tie the game at 35, at which point the Hokies scored the winning touchdown with 63 seconds left.

Remember that mention of a quarterback change by choice? Virginia Tech head coach Justin Fuente benched senior Ryan Willis in favor of sophomore Hendon Hooker, who threw for 184 yards on 10-of-20 passing, tossing three touchdown passes while adding one more on the ground with 16 carries for 76 yards. Not an efficient performance, perhaps, but Hooker did avoid the mistakes that cost Willis his starting job.

“There had been too many mistakes and too many turnovers,” Hokies offensive coordinator Brad Cornelsen said. “Ryan has certainly still made plays and is capable of playing good games and taking care of the ball and doing those things. We just felt like Hendon deserved a shot. We just felt we needed a change.”

Willis had thrown five interceptions through four games, also losing a fumble.

Hendon can now boost his stats against FCS-level Rhode Island (4 ET; ACCN).

Duke (3-2): The Blue Devils had the week off and should now ready for a win against Georgia Tech (12:30 ET; ACCN). As 17.5-point favorites against a team focusing on the process and not the results, winning 33-15, as expected with a 48.5-point over/under, should not be too much a hassle for David Cutcliffe & Co.

Navy (3-1): The Midshipmen pulled off an upset of Air Force, 34-25, though the final score was embellished by an 8-yard fumble recovery for a touchdown with no time left. While each team had three turnovers, Navy somehow held a triple-option outfit to 108 rushing yards on 45 attempts, a 2.4 yards per carry average.

That skill will not be applicable at Tulsa (7:30 ET; ESPNU), where the Midshipmen are currently one-point favorites in a contest with a 52-point over/under, forecasting an intriguing 26-25 finish.

Boston College (3-3): In some respects, the Eagles coming so close to winning at Louisville was a surprise, since their starting quarterback attempted only seven passes. Junior Anthony Brown went 6-of-7 for 193 yards and a touchdown before going down with an apparent knee injury, one not caused by contact.

In his stead, sophomore Dennis Grosel threw for 111 yards, three touchdowns and one interception on 9-of-24 passing.

Perhaps because Boston College is off this week, scouring the internet Tuesday evening could not turn up a diagnosis on Brown’s knee.

Stanford (3-3): Just when college football fans get ready to write off the Cardinal for 2019, David Shaw’s group goes ahead and beats No. 15 Washington, 23-13. It is not that Stanford beat Washington that hints maybe its season could be righted; it is how the Cardinal did it. Stanford outgained the Huskies by 186 yards, leaning on a ground game of 43 rushing attempts for 189 yards, a 4.4 yards per carry average. Its defense gave up 88 yards on 22 carries. Stanford had the ball for 39:01. To put it simply, the Cardinal dominated Washington in an old-fashioned way, an effective one at that.

Shaw now has a week off to figure out if that approach will work moving forward. Stanford certainly has several winnable games on its schedule, namely vs. UCLA, at Colorado and vs. Cal, not that hosting Arizona should be a worst-case scenario, either.

 

Drew Pyne to transfer from Notre Dame; Tyler Buchner reportedly a bowl possibility

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Notre Dame may start its third quarterback of the season in its bowl game after junior Drew Pyne announced he will transfer from the program on Friday. A graduate, Pyne has three seasons of eligibility remaining.

ESPN’s Pete Thamel first reported Pyne’s intention to transfer, with Pyne soon thereafter taking to Twitter to confirm as much.

“One of my proudest honors is to have been a student-athlete at the University of Notre Dame,” Pyne wrote. “… It’s time for me to take on a new challenge, and I will be entering the transfer portal.”

Pyne took over as the Irish starter after sophomore Tyler Buchner suffered a season-ending shoulder injury in the second week of the season. Pyne went 8-2 as a starter, completing 64.6 percent of his passes for 2,021 yards and 22 touchdowns this season.

His final action at Notre Dame may have been Pyne’s best game of his career, throwing for 318 yards and three touchdowns at USC while completing 23 of 26 passes, the second-most accurate game in Irish history.

He appeared in two games in 2021, stepping in for Jack Coan when he struggled against Wisconsin and Cincinnati. Keeping Pyne to minimal appearances in 2021 was intentional, preserving a season of eligibility for him.

That eligibility will now be used elsewhere.

Without Pyne, Notre Dame will have freshman Steve Angeli and possibly Buchner available in the bowl game, a location and opponent to be announced on Sunday. Football Scoop’s John Brice reported Friday afternoon that Buchner will play in the bowl game, though perhaps that optimism should be measured throughout practice this month.

Regardless, the Irish are expected to pursue an incoming transfer quarterback this month. With names like Texas’ Hudson Card and Virginia’s Brennan Armstrong already in the transfer portal, Notre Dame will have a few options to chase.

That is why Pyne’s transfer makes sense, even if he spoke earnestly about the bowl game following that 38-27 loss in Los Angeles.

“I think we have a lot to play for,” he said. “We’re going to be in a bowl game, I want to send all the seniors out the right way. We have a lot to play for. We have another game, I’m going to prepare as hard as I can for that and finish the season off on a positive note.”

Reversing course from those words is understandable given they came minutes after a competitive game, and the last week has shown Pyne how quickly the quarterback transfer market will move.

In the game of musical chairs that is quarterbacks moving across the country, Pyne waiting until after the bowl game to transfer could serve only to leave him with fewer destinations as options. Not that Pyne may have been looking at Iowa, but the fact that one Power Five starting gig appears to have already been filled by Michigan transfer Cade McNamara presumably underscored the rapid nature of this process.

Understandably, Pyne needs to make the most of this opportunity, coming off a strong season as Notre Dame’s starter but knowing he is unlikely to start for the Irish in 2023. Depending on the level of transfer joining the Irish and Buchner’s health, it was distinctly possible Pyne would be Notre Dame’s third quarterback next year.

For someone who grew up as a Notre Dame fan, specifically a Brady Quinn fan, assuredly this decision was not an easy one for Pyne.

He had a lengthy and notable offer sheet coming out of high school, but Pyne at his best this season would not draw interest from the likes of Texas A&M, Alabama and LSU as he did three years ago. It may be more pertinent to point out he is a Connecticut native, so schools in the northeast could be most logical for his landing spot.

The Irish should also have quarterback commit Kenny Minchey in the pecking order this spring, expected to sign with Notre Dame on Dec. 21 when the early signing period begins.

RELATED READING: Notre Dame’s QB room creates a friendly trust that has been crucial to Pyne’s success
Notre Dame 99-to-0: No. 10 Drew Pyne, junior quarterback

Notre Dame adds a fourth receiver commit to recruiting class, helping a roster need

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Notre Dame is addressing its most glaring roster deficiency with a numbers approach. The Irish had only five true scholarship receivers for much of this season, a number they will nearly match in next year’s freshman class alone after adding a fourth receiver commitment on Thursday. Consensus three-star receiver Kaleb Smith (Rick Reedy High School; Frisco, Texas) announced he will join Notre Dame’s class, and he should sign with the Irish on Dec. 21 when the early signing period begins.

Smith was committed to Texas Tech for more than nine months before he backed off that pledge in early November. Marcus Freeman does not welcome official visitors who are committed to other programs, so if Smith wanted to take an official visit to South Bend to watch Notre Dame play Clemson, he needed to open up his recruitment.

The Irish 35-13 win against the then-No. 4 Tigers assuredly helped tip the scales away from his homestate Texas Tech.

Otherwise, Smith has hardly been recruited by anyone. The only other Power Five program to chase him was Baylor when current Notre Dame receivers coach Chansi Stuckey was there.

Listed at only 6-foot and 168 pounds, it is easy to pencil in Smith as a slot receiver, but he is also willing to go up in the air to get the ball. His highlight footage features him repeatedly and astonishingly open.

His size, or lack thereof, will make Smith unique among the quartet of incoming signees. By snagging four receivers in this class, the Irish are proactively fixing an undeniable roster problem. In last year’s Fiesta Bowl, Notre Dame had only four receivers available. Through most of this season, in part due to injuries to Avery Davis and Joe Wilkins, the Irish had a total of six receivers available, including former walk-on Matt Salerno.

While Braden Lenzy will not return for the Irish in 2023, current sophomores Jayden Thomas, Deion Colzie and Lorenzo Styles should all come back, along with current freshman Tobias Merriweather. With these four commitments, a position group of eight may allow Notre Dame to have a genuine two-deep.

If signing four receivers in a class and seven in two years seems like an unsustainable influx, keep in mind two things. First of all, the Irish desperately need to find receiver depth. Lenzy was famously and admittedly exhausted at the end of that Fiesta Bowl faceplant 11 months ago. One more injury this season would have further crippled Notre Dame’s passing game in 2022. Secondly, the one-time transfer allowance will make departures from the program both more common and more alluring to the players. Natural attrition will occur.

RELATED READING: A third four-star receiver commitment, Jaden Greathouse, elevates Notre Dame’s class of 2023 from good to Great
Four-star receiver Rico Flores Jr.’s commitment gives Notre Dame some receiver hope for 2023
Four-star Texas receiver Braylon James gives Notre Dame needed offensive piece in class of 2023

CB Cam Hart out for Notre Dame’s bowl game, but will return in 2023

Notre Dame v North Carolina
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Perhaps earlier than expected, Notre Dame has already received good news this offseason. Senior cornerback Cam Hart will return for a fifth year in South Bend, though he will not put on pads for the Irish in any bowl game, he announced Tuesday evening.

“Due to a shoulder injury that I sustained during the Boston College Game [sic], I could not participate in our final regular season game and will not be able to participate in this year’s bowl game,” Hart wrote on Twitter. “Consequently, I believe my time here isn’t necessarily complete. Choosing to attend the University of Nore Dame has been the best decision I’ve ever made in my entire life.

“In light of that, I’ve decided to return for a fifth season and look forward to taking the field with my brothers in 2023!”

Hart’s 2023 return should give the Irish four returning cornerbacks with starting experience, only fifth-year nickel back Tariq Bracy a notable departure from this year’s cornerbacks group.

Note: The use of “should” is not meant to imply anything about other possibilities. The conditional verb is chosen as recognition of the constantly changing rosters in college football in 2022.

Hart took part in Notre Dame’s Senior Day festivities before facing Boston College, which suggested he was at least considering jumping to the NFL. This quick announcement indicates the injury ruled out that thought process, though the injury had plagued him at points earlier in the season.

A shoulder injury first flared up for Hart this year in the spring of 2022, costing him spring practices. A concern had previously cost him some of 2019, as he adapted from playing receiver in high school. He nonetheless played in 11 games in 2022, starting 10 and making 25 tackles with three for loss and breaking up four passes.

His passes defensed fell from nine in 2021, along with two interceptions, in part because opposing quarterbacks were less enticed to test the increasingly-experienced cornerback. His 6-foot-2 ½ length made Hart something just short of a shutdown cornerback.

With current freshman Benjamin Morrison surging to close this season and classmate Jaden Mickey stepping in for Hart at USC, Notre Dame should enjoy a plethora of tested cornerbacks in 2023. (Current junior Clarence Lewis is the aforementioned fourth.)

In many respects, this will allow the Irish defense to begin the 2023 season with the same calm it had in 2022, when Hart, Lewis and Bracy provided experienced pass defense.

“You have three older veteran corners that can really play at any moment, which makes you feel good,” head coach Marcus Freeman said in August. “Those three guys can play those two corner spots and I don’t feel there will be a drop off with any of them.”

There are a few key decisions left on Notre Dame’s defense — most notably, defensive end Justin Ademilola and safety Brandon Joseph could return in 2023 — but most of them may come after any Irish bowl game. Hart’s choice was presumably expedited by his apparent exclusion from the bowl game due to this injury.

HART CAREER STATISTICS
2020: 8 games; 3 tackles, 2 passes defended.
2021: 13 games, 10 starts; 42 tackles with four for loss, 9 passes defended and two interceptions.
2022: 11 games, 10 starts; 25 tackles with three for loss, 4 passes defended.

RELATED READING: Notre Dame 99-to-0: No. 5 Cam Hart, senior cornerback, second-year starter

Things We Learned: Notre Dame’s offensive shortcomings again highlighted by an explosive counterpart

COLLEGE FOOTBALL: NOV 26 Notre Dame at USC
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There are two ways to look at USC’s 38-27 win against Notre Dame on Saturday, and they both tie back to the Trojans’ being the best Irish measuring stick.

USC beat Notre Dame in a way that underscores how short-handed the Irish always were this season. When Trojans quarterback Caleb Williams began to cement his status as the Heisman frontrunner with a performance that will be long remembered, Notre Dame had no way to consistently counter him.

“We didn’t stop them,” Irish head coach Marcus Freeman said simply enough.

Without the offensive skill position players needed to match Williams’ explosive play for explosive play, Notre Dame needed its defense to play perfectly, clearly an unfair ask against a Lincoln Riley offense.

“USC is a great team,” Irish quarterback Drew Pyne said. “That was a really good team we played out there. They’re going to go on and do great things for the rest of their season. Caleb Williams is a great player.”

If the Irish had not had junior tight end Michael Mayer — eight catches on nine targets for 98 yards and two touchdowns — they may not have been able to stay in even vague distance of the Trojans. Three heaves to Deion Colzie gained 75 yards and three first downs, but each felt like Pyne was hoping more than anything else.

Notre Dame still made it a game, but the discrepancy in offensive playmakers stood out in Los Angeles on Saturday night.

And while both programs will undergo some turnover — most notably Mayer for the Irish; receiver Jordan Addison and running back Austin Jones will both likely be at the next level next year, among Trojans’ contributors this weekend — Notre Dame will need to close that gap to compete with USC next season.

The variance of a schedule may keep the Irish from too staunchly improving on their 8-4 record this year, but a certainty is that Williams will be ready to dazzle again in South Bend on Oct. 14, 2023.

Notre Dame right now does not have the offensive firepower to keep up with such a dynamic attack. As soon as the Irish gifted the Trojans chances to take a lead, their running game was mitigated and Notre Dame’s best hopes were reduced to Mayer and those heaves to Colzie.

Williams can dance his way through any defense, perhaps shy of Georgia’s. Even if the Irish secondary had been fully healthy, Williams’ rhythmic scrambles still would have broken down the defense. If Utah helms him in this weekend, it may be as much due to a USC letdown as it is to any Utes’ scheme. His stardom is an extreme, but this is college football in 2022, again aside from Georgia.

Many will instinctively point to Pyne’s shortcomings, ignoring how well he played in the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. He made two mistakes, yes, but one of them (the cross-body interception) came as Notre Dame was more and more desperate and the other (the fumbled exchange) was in part a result of the Irish abandoning their ground game as they fell further behind.

Pyne finished 23-of-26 for 318 yards and three touchdowns. Every version of breaking down those stats yields praise for Pyne. A reality of a loss and a reality when the opposing quarterback broke through as a national star, no time was spent in postgame press conferences discussing Pyne’s efficient night.

But it was, regardless.

His final incompletion, the interception from Notre Dame’s own red zone, also overshadowed the second-most accurate day in Irish passing history, but it was an understandable mistake. Notre Dame was trailing by two scores with only five minutes remaining. Wasting a play on a throwaway was low on Pyne’s priority list.

If Pyne had established more of a season-long rapport with Colzie, maybe he sees him down the left sideline as highlighted by Kirk Herbstreit on the broadcast. If Braden Lenzy is a bit less worn down by a season-long receiver shortage, maybe he is able to charge into Pyne’s ill-advised pass rather than try to settle in for a low catch. If … maybe, if … maybe.

Only twice this season has USC managed as few as 31 genuine points — discounting the short-field touchdown in the final three minutes courtesy of Pyne’s pick, though not all that necessary given the Trojans fell short of 40 points just twice in their first 11 games. Oregon State and Washington State had the luxuries of facing Williams before he had reached the peak of his powers with this new, transfer-obtained complement of receivers.

The Irish defense did its part against USC. Notre Dame’s offense just could not match the star of the season.

Williams will star again next year. The Irish defense will most likely still be stout. Those truths this season will carry over. Notre Dame then has to wonder only if its offense can develop and/or find more playmakers, a known need this entire season and now the pressing concern entering the offseason, a need emphasized by the Trojans’ offense, the foe that should again define 2023.