No. 13 Notre Dame vs USC: Time, TV, Preview & Prediction

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SOUTH BEND, Ind. — Few things shout “We’re back” from the chaos of last year as loudly as No. 13 Notre Dame (5-1) welcoming USC (3-3) into a primetime game with temperatures dropping into the mid-40s. Playing the Trojans every year is a staple of Irish independence, and it was the first real casualty of Notre Dame joining the ACC for the 2020 season while the Pac 12, at the time, did not plan on playing at all.

Few things shout “The more things change, the more they stay the same” like USC facing Brian Kelly with an interim head coach, the third time Kelly will face a temporary leader on the Trojans sideline during his 12 years leading the Irish. First Ed Orgeron stepped in for Lane Kiffin, then Clay Helton stepped in for Steve Sarkisian, and now Donte Williams steps in for Helton. Kelly beat both those interim coaches, part of his 7-3 record against Notre Dame’s biggest rival.

As much as tradition can be overwrought, Kelly restoring Irish dominance to this rivalry — when he arrived in 2010, the Trojans had won eight straight in this series — is an appropriate piece of his path to breaking Knute Rockjne’s career wins record earlier this season. Rockne began the cross-country trips to Los Angeles, and Kelly used two of them to seal perfect regular seasons. If Notre Dame had played USC in 2020, it is likely a third would have been wrapped up out West.

That will obviously not be the case this year, but beating USC would continue to serve to split these two programs’ directions, one chasing a fifth consecutive season of at least 10 wins and another seeking its fourth head coach in the last decade.

TIME, TV: 7:30 ET on NBC. The game will also be streamed on Peacock.

Night games returned to Notre Dame only 10 years ago, greeting the Trojans in 2011 on the same night as the Irish debuted piped-in music in the Stadium. It is now an annual tradition to play at least one primetime game in mid-to-late October, and the in-house playlist has certainly grown since that fraught first endeavor with only a handful of songs at its disposal.

PREVIEW: Per usual, no matter the coaching turnover or the current lack of success, USC has as much top-end talent as nearly any other team in the country. Namely, the Trojans offense leans on onetime Heisman hopeful quarterback Kedon Slovis and his ability to connect with star junior receiver Drake London.

Slovis’ season has not gone to plan, plummetting from the Heisman lists as the losses piled up for USC and he was knocked out of a game only to have freshman Jaxson Dart shine as the next Trojans quarterback, seemingly a constant designation for the program, perhaps a familiar refrain to Notre Dame fans. Dart may or may not be healthy enough to play tonight after needing minor meniscus surgery a few weeks ago, so unless he is seen donning a helmet, the assumption is the onus lies on Slovis.

Despite that big-play duo, USC has shown a confounding habit of getting punched out this year. No Trojans game has been closer than two touchdowns, win or loss. A tight fourth-quarter affair would quite literally be a first for USC in 2021. Given the lack of crowds in 2020 and the lack of dramatic moments in 2021, one can be forgiven for wondering how the Trojans would react to a high-stakes conclusion tonight.

Defensively, the Trojans have, by far, the worst defense Notre Dame has faced to date. That is not to say it is outright bad, though it is far from good. SP+ ranks USC’s defense No. 81 in the country, just a bit below an average unit. The only defense the Irish have faced thus far outside the top 33 has been Florida State’s at No. 67, decisively average. The Trojans give up 6.18 yards per play, No. 106 in the country. The Seminoles, again the worst Notre Dame has played to date, give up 5.54, No. 68 in the country.

Mobile quarterbacks have exploited USC’s defense, as have traditional passing games. While the Irish continue to juggle multiple quarterbacks with vastly different skill sets, this is one occasion when there may not be a wrong answer.

PREDICTION: As of Friday night, PointsBet favored Notre Dame by a full touchdown with a combined points total Over/Under of 58.5. The Irish winning by a touchdown would simultaneously be a relatively comfortable win for them — with three games won by three points — and a relatively tight game for USC.

It is that latter thought that continues to intrigue. The Trojans have not shown an abundance of fight this year. Maybe that ties to losing their head coach. Perhaps it is a byproduct of the fatigue the whole world can relate to after the last 18 months. It could simply be a fluke of a few games and football is a sport of small-sample sizes. But whatever the cause, USC has not shown up to punch back this year.

Meanwhile, Notre Dame has opened three games with either a touchdown on its first drive or a trip into the red zone. In the other three games, the opening Irish drives all lost yardage. Leaning into the quick start — again, the Trojans have a lackluster defense prone to being picked apart by a diligent quarterback — could lead to USC packing it in early once again.

That may be hard to believe in a rivalry game, the return of a rivalry, a rivalry in which the Trojans have not won since 2016, but all of this year’s indicators suggest it as a distinct possibility.

Notre Dame 38, USC 17.
(Straight up — 5-1; Against the spread — 4-2; Over/under — 4-1.)

INSIDE THE IRISH
Brian Kelly skips transparent gamesmanship, names Jack Coan as Notre Dame’s starting quarterback
Notre Dame’s quarterback ‘respect’ differs from the growing national norm
QB Brendon Clark, coming off knee injury, announces transfer from Notre Dame
Much weaker defenses await the Irish, with USC’s arguably the worst
And In That Corner … The USC Trojans return to Notre Dame scuffling on both sides of the ball
Things To Learn: Notre Dame has a defensive plan for USC, but can it stick to one on offense?
Friday at 4: Of Brian Kelly’s 107 wins at Notre Dame, the 7 against USC may be most impressive
How to watch USC vs Notre Dame: Live stream, TV info for Saturday

OUTSIDE READING
How Joe Alt transformed from high school tight end to Notre Dame’s starting left tackle
Pressure-filled moments aren’t too big for Notre Dame freshman running back Logan Diggs
The best of USC’s Drake London is still to come
AP Midseason All-America Team
The Athletic’s midseason All-America teams
2021 CBS Sports Midseason All-America team
College football’s midseason true freshman All-America team
Ronnie Stanley is having season-ending ankle surgery

Lengthy Texas cornerback joins Notre Dame class of 2024

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Maybe Benjamin Morrison and Jaden Mickey will be anomalies, but if they are precedent-setters, then Notre Dame may have snagged another unheralded but promising cornerback with the Saturday afternoon commitment of consensus three-star Leonard Moore (Round Rock High School; Texas).

Moore also holds scholarship offers from Oregon, TCU and Vanderbilt, to name a few. In total, he has offers from six schools in the Pac-12, three in the Big 12, two in the SEC and one in the ACC, an intriguing widespread array from someone not yet lighting recruiting rankings on fire.

At 6-foot-2, Moore should have the length to become a physical cornerback, one perhaps more in the mold of current Notre Dame fifth-year cornerback Cam Hart than the rising sophomore Morrison.

Moore’s highlight reel starts with a few interceptions, naturally, and a punt return. Pass breakups are not necessarily the most enthralling of film. But then he sheds a block to force a fumble and soon defends a back-shoulder throw with ease. Moore is clearly a playmaker, particularly given no level of Texas football should be scoffed at. He intercepted three passes, forced two fumbles and broke up four passes in 2022 as a junior.

He readily anticipates routes and when needed funnels his man as the defensive design demands.

Moore runs track, as well, with decent 200-meter times in the low 23-second range.

The eighth commitment in the class of 2024, Moore is the second defensive back, joining consensus three-star cornerback Karson Hobbs (Archbishop Moeller; Cincinnati). While team recruiting rankings are thoroughly premature more than 10 months before anyone can officially sign, thoroughness demands mentioning that Notre Dame’s class is currently ranked No. 2 in the country behind only Georgia with 10 commitments.

RELATED READING: An early look at Notre Dame’s seven commits in the class of 2024, including QB CJ Carr

A cursory look at the depth chart suggests Moore could have an avenue to early playing time in South Bend. Hart likely will move on to the NFL after the 2023 season, a shoulder injury tipping the scales toward returning this offseason. Aside from him, the only cornerbacks with experience on the Irish roster are Morrison and Mickey and rising senior Clarence Lewis. Any of the four young cornerbacks that do make an impression in 2023 will effectively be on equal footing with Moore.

Reports: Tommy Rees heads to Alabama after 10 total years at Notre Dame

COLLEGE FOOTBALL: APR 23 Notre Dame Spring Game
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If you can’t beat ‘em, join ‘em.

Tommy Rees will leave Notre Dame to do just that, heading to be the offensive coordinator at Alabama, according to reports Friday afternoon. Nick Saban and the Tide denied Rees a national championship as a player in 2012 and a title game appearance as an offensive coordinator in 2020.

The South Bend Tribune‘s Mike Berardino first reported Rees’s decision, coming a day after reports initially surfaced that Rees was Alabama’s preferred choice for the gig, and he had flown to Tuscaloosa to consider the position.

Those unbeaten regular seasons, along with one in 2018 as the Irish quarterbacks coach, were the high points of Rees’ total of a decade with the Notre Dame football program. Like his former head coach, he will now head to the SEC chasing a higher peak.

Of course, Rees spurned Brian Kelly’s invite to join him at LSU last winter, instead memorably telling the Irish offensive players, “I’m [bleepin’] staying,” setting the tone for the first week of Marcus Freeman‘s tenure as Notre dame head coach.

RELATED READING: Tommy Rees turns down Brian Kelly’s LSU overture and will remain at Notre Dame
Jack Swarbrick, Marcus Freeman and Tommy Rees brought stability to Notre Dame long before and obviously after Brian Kelly sowed chaos

Alabama made an offer Rees could not refuse, even if a year ago he said, “I love this place (Notre Dame). I believe that we can win a national championship here, and I’m committed to doing everything we can to get to that point.”

Going to Tuscaloosa does not render those words empty. Rees is going to work for the greatest college football coach in history in a role that has repeatedly springboarded coaches to better opportunities. Since Saban arrived at Alabama in 2007, his offensive coordinators have gone on to be, in chronological order, the assistant head coach at Texas (Major Applewhite), head coach at Colorado State (Jim McElwain), offensive coordinator at Michigan (Doug Nussmeier), head coach at Florida Atlantic (Lane Kiffin), head coach at Texas (Steve Sarkisian) and offensive coordinator for the New England Patriots (Bill O’Brien).

Thus, Rees is bettering both his chances at a national title in the short term and his presumed path to whatever gig he wants next in the long term.

He leaves Notre Dame after three seasons as the Irish offensive coordinator, which came after three years as the quarterbacks coach. The Irish have ranked No. 41, No. 19 and No. 30 in scoring offense the last three seasons, peaking with 35.2 points per game in 2021, the second-highest total in Brian Kelly’s tenure.

But perhaps Rees’s finest moment as a Notre Dame assistant came when he finessed a mid-season quarterback switch to Ian Book from Brandon Wimbush despite the Irish remaining unbeaten throughout 2018. In some respects, Rees threaded a similar needle in 2021, incorporating Wisconsin graduate transfer Jack Coan, then-freshman Tyler Buchner and spot-reliever Drew Pyne; each quarterback could be credited as responsible for at least one win as the Irish made a Playoff push.

Then this past season, Rees responded to Buchner’s shoulder sprain that cost him 10 games by working with Pyne to piecemeal an offense.

From December of 2021:

Rees has considered leaving his alma mater before, reportedly interviewing to be Miami’s offensive coordinator in recent years, not to mention weighing Kelly’s offer from LSU 14 months ago, as well as a previous brief dalliance with Alabama a few years ago.

After leading Notre Dame’s offense in one way or another for 10 of the last 13 years, Rees has finally opted to do so elsewhere. It just so happens to be as part of the team that twice turned back the Irish and now faces Kelly every fall.

Opportunities abound for Tommy Rees, earned recognition after a decade at Notre Dame

Clemson v Notre Dame
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A lot of people go to college for seven years. For Tommy Rees, it has been 10 years at Notre Dame, so to speak.

Whether or not Rees leaves his alma mater this week, as multiple Thursday reports indicated Rees is the frontrunner to be Alabama’s next offensive coordinator, there is no bad choice in front of him. Either Rees returns as the Irish offensive coordinator for a fourth season, continues his pursuit of winning a national championship at Notre Dame after three postseason trips already in his career, or he learns under the best college football coach in history in a position that has springboarded coaches to greener pastures for about a decade now.

Irish fans may spend most of their falls criticizing Rees’s play calls, but he is clearly someone well-respected in the coaching community. Seen as a future coach when he was a player and then navigating multiple delicate quarterback situations at Notre Dame, this is not the first time Nick Saban has chased Rees. He reportedly did so following the 2019 season, when Rees had not even spent a day as an offensive coordinator.

Instead, Rees took over that gig in South Bend, losing to Alabama in the 2020 College Football Playoff, albeit a more competitive showing than when Rees and the Irish fell to the Tide in the 2012 title game. Miami sought Rees in recent years, and whispers of vague NFL interest have popped up more offseasons than not.

If most of those people who go to college for seven years are called doctors, then Rees has put together a doctorate-level intellect evidenced by who wants to hire him. Alabama publicly sending a branded plane to South Bend to ferry Rees for a visit on Thursday underscored that reputation.

Set aside the forced references to “Tommy Boy” — though the similarities do go past the first name and to a Catholic university in the Midwest — and realize Rees will leave Notre Dame at some point, probably sooner than later.

Maybe he joins Saban this weekend. Alabama needs to navigate a first-year starter at quarterback next year in a conference that quickly seemed to catch up to the Tide last season, with both LSU and Tennessee staking claims as competitors with Georgia already clearly out in front and Mississippi in the mix. Competing with former Irish head coach Brian Kelly every year would make for juicy headlines, but what speaks louder to Rees’s credit is that this is the time Saban wants to snag him, when Alabama’s footing may be less secure than at any point since the ‘00s.

Maybe Rees returns to Notre Dame, teams with Wake Forest graduate transfer quarterback Sam Hartman to ready for three top-10 matchups in 2023, and gets the Irish into the College Football Playoff for a third time in six years with the only constant quite literally being Rees.

Oh, and both scenarios should come with plenty of money.

Rees has no bad choice in front of him. That is a credit to him, even if fans would rather lampoon him than step back and acknowledge the intricacies of playcalling.

If he heads to Alabama, the annual matchups with LSU will become delightful fodder from afar. His Notre Dame legacy will include “Call duo until you can’t speak,” his emphatic play call when he left the coaches’ booth early as the Irish upset Clemson this past November, and “I’m [bleepin’] staying,” Rees’s declaration to the offensive players last December amid a week of tumult.

If he stays in South Bend, the next matchup with anyone in the SEC, most likely a 2023 bowl game, will drip with an on-field chance at validation. That legacy will include spurning college football’s best not once, but twice.

For a quarterback who lost his starting job at Notre Dame not once (2011 preseason), but twice (2012 preseason), some pride has been earned. Saban’s stamp of approval carries all the weight needed in college football to assure someone of their professional standing.

It may have taken a decade, but Rees can now know he belongs with the best, no matter what decision he makes this weekend.

The lull of National Signing Day underscores need to move the early signing period

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The early-morning chaos of today’s National Signing Day did not disappear with the implementation of the December “early” signing period in the 2018 recruiting cycle. It just moved six weeks earlier.

In 2014, waking up at 6:45 a.m. ET to be logged on and publishing at 7 a.m. led to noticing one expected recruit had not yet signed with Notre Dame by 8 a.m. Pointing that out and reminding the world Michigan State was making a late push led to an Irish media relations staffer reaching out to quietly say something to the extent of, “Just letting the young man have his moment at school.”

In 2017, less than two weeks after taking over this gig, waking up at 3 a.m. CT to churn through 2,000 words before signings could begin becoming official eventually led to napping through Brian Kelly’s Signing Day press conference.

Nothing changed 10 months later. That December, the afternoon of Dec. 22, the Friday before Christmas, was spent waiting for receiver Braden Lenzy to officially choose Notre Dame over Oregon. Sitting at your parents’ kitchen table not helping your niece make a gingerbread house because recruiting-obsessed fans harassed a player through two de-commitments is not a strong way to conjure up holiday spirit.

Coaches across the country advocated for the earlier signing period, claiming it would allow high-school seniors to make their collegiate decisions official earlier on in their senior years, particularly when the prospects had already made up their minds on where to play football at the next level. That was all optics, if even that.

These high schoolers now make their decision official just six weeks earlier. In the preps football calendar, those six weeks are meaningless. Both the December signing period and today, the traditional National Signing Day, come well after the high-school seasons have ended.

The truth was, coaches across the country did not want to tend to their solid commitments over Christmas and New Year’s, particularly not amid bowl prep. It was self-serving at best and short-sighted at worst.

First of all, when the December signing period became reality in 2017, one-time transfers were not yet allowed without losing eligibility the following season. Secondly, no one predicted the early signing period would lead to the coaching carousel beginning earlier and earlier in the season. September firings used to be the result of only off-field scandals, not outright expected from half a dozen programs each fall. Athletic directors now want that headstart on hiring a new coach so he can have time before the December signing period commences.

Exhibit A: Notre Dame may have ended up with Marcus Freeman as its head coach after Brian Kelly’s abrupt departure following the 2021 season, but if the primary signing date had not been lingering just a few weeks away, Kelly likely would not have jumped to LSU before the College Football Playoff field was set, and Irish director of athletics Jack Swarbrick would have taken more time in choosing his next head coach, more than the 48 hours he used last December. After all, Swarbrick took 10 days in hiring Kelly in 2009.

Lastly, with a 12-team Playoff coming in 2025, December will become only more hectic.

Those head coaches who wanted a little less stress over the holidays will then have to deal with, in chronological order:

— Keeping their own jobs.
— Securing their recruiting classes in the days immediately preceding Christmas.
— Preparing their teams for bowl games.
— Preparing their teams for up to four games if in the Playoff.
— Re-recruiting any players considering entering the transfer portal before the winter window closes.
— Winning a bowl game.
— Retaining their coaching staffs.
— Oh, and celebrate the holidays with their families, as was their want when they hollered for the early signing period.

Most of those tasks are immutable and inherent to the sport.

But one can move. It already has once.

The logic is too clear. Nothing was gained in moving up the primary signing date by six weeks. And sanity was lost.

This is, of course, a sport that prefers to ignore logic, but usually that is charming. A mustard bottle on the field is quirky; lacking a worthwhile voice of authority is stubbornly stupid.

So the early signing period may not move as soon as it should (now), but it will move. There are no anti-trust worries tied to it, fortunately.

And aside from the logic, cramming more content into December costs the media, too. Spreading out that context through the vacuum of mid-January to mid-March will be much appreciated.