Notre Dame vs UNLV: Time, Peacock, Preview and Predictions

California v Notre Dame
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SOUTH BEND, Ind. — “Must win” is an obnoxious phrase in sports. Aside from an elimination game, a “must win” game is typically being discussed hyperbolically. In college football, it is so widely applicable, it hardly has any meaning. Once a team of Notre Dame’s usual standing loses a game, every game after that becomes a “must win,” the second loss eliminating any hopes of a Playoff berth. Are “must wins” that special of moments anymore? Once the Irish lost to Marshall on Sept. 10, could any game this season be considered a “must win”?

For once, yes, as illustrated by Notre Dame (3-3) clashing with UNLV (4-3) this afternoon. Lose this game as a four-score favorite and all logic of any kind will be out the window for the last five games of the Irish season.

While the Rebels started the season 4-1, they have fallen by a combined score of 82-14 in their last two games, playing most of those blowouts without starting quarterback Doug Brumfield, expected to be sidelined again today due to the lingering effects of a concussion suffered in the first of those routs.

With Brumfield, perhaps UNLV could put a scare into an Irish team still struggling to find its way in general under first-year head coach Marcus Freeman, particularly at home where Notre Dame has lost outright twice this season as a three-score favorite. Without Brumfield, now leaning on last year’s Mountain West Freshman of the Year in quarterback Cam Friel, the Rebels have been unable to find any offensive rhythm.

No matter what UNLV puts forth on the field, a loss today would cast a level of uncertainty around the Irish that may be unprecedented. Not that a gambling spread should measure the magnitude of a loss, but it does provide a metric of how unexpected a defeat may be. Notre Dame has not lost as a four-possession favorite since … well, the database of choice around here, OddsShark.com, does not go back that far, noting 36 times since the 1995 season in which the Irish were favored by at least 21 points. They won them all, including 20 times as a favorite of 25 points or more and 31 times (at that -21 number) this century.

The Marshall loss in mid-September featured the Herd as a 20-point underdog, to be clear. Stanford was a 16.5-point underdog.

While a “guarantee game” as far as a payment to UNLV may go, this afternoon is a must win for Notre Dame.

TIME: 2:30 ET on what will presumably be the last delightful fall Saturday in South Bend, with afternoon temperatures in the mid-70s and weather.com describing the day as “Sunny” and “Mostly Sunny.” Some winds may swirl — perhaps something to note if the Irish hold the Rebels to field-goal attempts — but otherwise, anyone in attendance should delight in the day.

PEACOCK: This game is available exclusively via Peacock, NBC’s streaming app. Signing up for a Peacock subscription begins quite simply by clicking this link RIGHT HERE.

Then, if wanted, download the Peacock app on your respective viewing device just as you do with any other streaming app. 

What devices and platforms are supported by Peacock?

This is college football in 2022, when every SEC team appears on ESPN+ at least once this season, when Oklahoma has finally caved to typical streaming apps rather than its traditional exorbitantly-priced pay-per-view model, when an NFL game each week is available only on Amazon Prime. Major League Baseball committed to AppleTV this season. The NBA has multiple franchises that wish they had a viable streaming outlet given the incompetent greed of the Sinclair Broadcast Group/Diamond  Sports Group/Bally Sports.

If wanting to support Irish junior running back Chris Tyree, go ahead and join the Chris Tyree Membership Program, which delivers its members six months of Peacock Premium, in addition to some Tyree-specific perks, part of the NBC Sports Athlete Direct NIL initiative.

PREVIEW: Notre Dame has not found itself in a position where a win against UNLV is hardly assumed because the Irish defense failed. Notre Dame is giving up only 20.8 points per game, once deducting the points scored by Marshall on an interception returned for a touchdown. Giving up 16 to Stanford should have been enough of a defensive effort.

But the Irish defense is starting to wear thin, and if this afternoon remains close longer than expected, fatigue may begin to set in. Looking at Notre Dame’s preseason defensive two-deep, it finished last week’s loss without its top-two defensive tackles (Jayson Ademilola and Jacob Lacey), veteran linebacker Bo Bauer, its top-two nickel backs (Tariq Bracy and Jaden Mickey), a rotational safety (Ramon Henderson) and with its top nose tackle (Howard Cross) on an injured ankle.

This is football, injuries are to be expected, but the emphatic nature of losing three players along the interior (with Lacey as an outgoing transfer) and both the top nickel backs compounded the concerns.

Freeman described fifth-year Ademilola as “day-to-day” this week with a rib contusion.

“He has tried to practice a little bit,” Freeman said Thursday. “He hasn’t practiced the entirety of a practice yet like he would normally do on game week, but he’s doing more and more every day. … It’s not a bone it’s not a strain, it’s more just the healing of a muscle in his rib. The ability for him to continue to take deep breaths, that’s my biggest concern.”

Mickey is also questionable with an abductor strain, while Bracy continues to work his way back from a hamstring difficulty, and Henderson takes it gingerly on a balky ankle.

Two things are true amid these injuries: The Irish still defended well enough against Stanford, though not forcing any turnovers, to win the game; and if there is any tangible reason for Notre Dame to worry today, it is if another injury or two joins this list.

PREDICTION: As of Friday night, the Irish are favored by 26.5 points with a combined points total Over/Under of 47.5, suggesting something akin to a 37-10 Notre Dame victory.

There are two struggles to that logic: The Irish have not shown enough consistency to put faith in them scoring 37 points against anybody; and UNLV may not cross midfield twice, let alone put points on the scoreboard twice.

This is where Notre Dame’s defense factors in on both sides of the ball. As long as the Irish do not create short fields with turnovers, forcing only two through six games, and hardly back up the opposing offense with repeated tackles for loss, averaging just 5.5 each week, they will force Notre Dame’s stumbling offense to cover most of the field to score.

Junior quarterback Drew Pyne has played well enough to have confidence at points, but repeatedly forcing him to cover 70 yards to score is asking a bit much.

But as long as the Irish defense also holds UNLV in check, then those Notre Dame drives will take time, they will chew clock, they will lower the final score as much as general inefficiency does.

Notre Dame 31, UNLV 3
(Spread: 2-4; Over/Under: 2-4; Straight-up: 3-3)

AN ON-FIELD NOTE
Pause your Peacock broadcast at some point and take special note of the cleats the Irish wear. Deemed “Cleats For A Cause,” every player will wear specially-designed cleats representing one of four local charities: the South Bend Center for the Homeless, the Boys & Girls Club of St. Joseph County, the YMCA of Greater Michiana, and Cultivate Food Rescue.

RELATED READING: Notre Dame football partners with local charities in ‘Cleats For A Cause’

Each cleat was handpainted and will be auctioned after the game, at which point all the proceeds will go to the four charities.

INSIDE THE IRISH
Impatient Notre Dame fans need to remember, there are only 12 of these Saturdays to enjoy
‘It’s A Disaster’: How and why to watch Notre Dame on Peacock
Things To Learn: Notre Dame’s ‘fixes’ of a fast start and some defensive havoc against UNLV on Saturday
And In That Corner … Can the injured UNLV Rebels give Notre Dame another challenge?
How to watch Notre Dame vs UNLV on Saturday exclusively on Peacock

OUTSIDE READING
Plenty of blame to share for Notre Dame’s offensive woes
Touchdown Tobias: Merriweather’s first can’t be his last this fall
UNLV vs Notre Dame odds, picks and predictions: Fighting Irish lock up
How to sign a recruiting class in 9 days at LSU, Notre Dame, Virginia Tech and beyond
‘Mister’ Osafo-Mensah lives up to name vs. Stanford
DL Gabe Rubio bringing old school mentality to Notre Dame

Drew Pyne to transfer from Notre Dame; Tyler Buchner reportedly a bowl possibility

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Notre Dame may start its third quarterback of the season in its bowl game after junior Drew Pyne announced he will transfer from the program on Friday. A graduate, Pyne has three seasons of eligibility remaining.

ESPN’s Pete Thamel first reported Pyne’s intention to transfer, with Pyne soon thereafter taking to Twitter to confirm as much.

“One of my proudest honors is to have been a student-athlete at the University of Notre Dame,” Pyne wrote. “… It’s time for me to take on a new challenge, and I will be entering the transfer portal.”

Pyne took over as the Irish starter after sophomore Tyler Buchner suffered a season-ending shoulder injury in the second week of the season. Pyne went 8-2 as a starter, completing 64.6 percent of his passes for 2,021 yards and 22 touchdowns this season.

His final action at Notre Dame may have been Pyne’s best game of his career, throwing for 318 yards and three touchdowns at USC while completing 23 of 26 passes, the second-most accurate game in Irish history.

He appeared in two games in 2021, stepping in for Jack Coan when he struggled against Wisconsin and Cincinnati. Keeping Pyne to minimal appearances in 2021 was intentional, preserving a season of eligibility for him.

That eligibility will now be used elsewhere.

Without Pyne, Notre Dame will have freshman Steve Angeli and possibly Buchner available in the bowl game, a location and opponent to be announced on Sunday. Football Scoop’s John Brice reported Friday afternoon that Buchner will play in the bowl game, though perhaps that optimism should be measured throughout practice this month.

Regardless, the Irish are expected to pursue an incoming transfer quarterback this month. With names like Texas’ Hudson Card and Virginia’s Brennan Armstrong already in the transfer portal, Notre Dame will have a few options to chase.

That is why Pyne’s transfer makes sense, even if he spoke earnestly about the bowl game following that 38-27 loss in Los Angeles.

“I think we have a lot to play for,” he said. “We’re going to be in a bowl game, I want to send all the seniors out the right way. We have a lot to play for. We have another game, I’m going to prepare as hard as I can for that and finish the season off on a positive note.”

Reversing course from those words is understandable given they came minutes after a competitive game, and the last week has shown Pyne how quickly the quarterback transfer market will move.

In the game of musical chairs that is quarterbacks moving across the country, Pyne waiting until after the bowl game to transfer could serve only to leave him with fewer destinations as options. Not that Pyne may have been looking at Iowa, but the fact that one Power Five starting gig appears to have already been filled by Michigan transfer Cade McNamara presumably underscored the rapid nature of this process.

Understandably, Pyne needs to make the most of this opportunity, coming off a strong season as Notre Dame’s starter but knowing he is unlikely to start for the Irish in 2023. Depending on the level of transfer joining the Irish and Buchner’s health, it was distinctly possible Pyne would be Notre Dame’s third quarterback next year.

For someone who grew up as a Notre Dame fan, specifically a Brady Quinn fan, assuredly this decision was not an easy one for Pyne.

He had a lengthy and notable offer sheet coming out of high school, but Pyne at his best this season would not draw interest from the likes of Texas A&M, Alabama and LSU as he did three years ago. It may be more pertinent to point out he is a Connecticut native, so schools in the northeast could be most logical for his landing spot.

The Irish should also have quarterback commit Kenny Minchey in the pecking order this spring, expected to sign with Notre Dame on Dec. 21 when the early signing period begins.

RELATED READING: Notre Dame’s QB room creates a friendly trust that has been crucial to Pyne’s success
Notre Dame 99-to-0: No. 10 Drew Pyne, junior quarterback

Notre Dame adds a fourth receiver commit to recruiting class, helping a roster need

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Notre Dame is addressing its most glaring roster deficiency with a numbers approach. The Irish had only five true scholarship receivers for much of this season, a number they will nearly match in next year’s freshman class alone after adding a fourth receiver commitment on Thursday. Consensus three-star receiver Kaleb Smith (Rick Reedy High School; Frisco, Texas) announced he will join Notre Dame’s class, and he should sign with the Irish on Dec. 21 when the early signing period begins.

Smith was committed to Texas Tech for more than nine months before he backed off that pledge in early November. Marcus Freeman does not welcome official visitors who are committed to other programs, so if Smith wanted to take an official visit to South Bend to watch Notre Dame play Clemson, he needed to open up his recruitment.

The Irish 35-13 win against the then-No. 4 Tigers assuredly helped tip the scales away from his homestate Texas Tech.

Otherwise, Smith has hardly been recruited by anyone. The only other Power Five program to chase him was Baylor when current Notre Dame receivers coach Chansi Stuckey was there.

Listed at only 6-foot and 168 pounds, it is easy to pencil in Smith as a slot receiver, but he is also willing to go up in the air to get the ball. His highlight footage features him repeatedly and astonishingly open.

His size, or lack thereof, will make Smith unique among the quartet of incoming signees. By snagging four receivers in this class, the Irish are proactively fixing an undeniable roster problem. In last year’s Fiesta Bowl, Notre Dame had only four receivers available. Through most of this season, in part due to injuries to Avery Davis and Joe Wilkins, the Irish had a total of six receivers available, including former walk-on Matt Salerno.

While Braden Lenzy will not return for the Irish in 2023, current sophomores Jayden Thomas, Deion Colzie and Lorenzo Styles should all come back, along with current freshman Tobias Merriweather. With these four commitments, a position group of eight may allow Notre Dame to have a genuine two-deep.

If signing four receivers in a class and seven in two years seems like an unsustainable influx, keep in mind two things. First of all, the Irish desperately need to find receiver depth. Lenzy was famously and admittedly exhausted at the end of that Fiesta Bowl faceplant 11 months ago. One more injury this season would have further crippled Notre Dame’s passing game in 2022. Secondly, the one-time transfer allowance will make departures from the program both more common and more alluring to the players. Natural attrition will occur.

RELATED READING: A third four-star receiver commitment, Jaden Greathouse, elevates Notre Dame’s class of 2023 from good to Great
Four-star receiver Rico Flores Jr.’s commitment gives Notre Dame some receiver hope for 2023
Four-star Texas receiver Braylon James gives Notre Dame needed offensive piece in class of 2023

CB Cam Hart out for Notre Dame’s bowl game, but will return in 2023

Notre Dame v North Carolina
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Perhaps earlier than expected, Notre Dame has already received good news this offseason. Senior cornerback Cam Hart will return for a fifth year in South Bend, though he will not put on pads for the Irish in any bowl game, he announced Tuesday evening.

“Due to a shoulder injury that I sustained during the Boston College Game [sic], I could not participate in our final regular season game and will not be able to participate in this year’s bowl game,” Hart wrote on Twitter. “Consequently, I believe my time here isn’t necessarily complete. Choosing to attend the University of Nore Dame has been the best decision I’ve ever made in my entire life.

“In light of that, I’ve decided to return for a fifth season and look forward to taking the field with my brothers in 2023!”

Hart’s 2023 return should give the Irish four returning cornerbacks with starting experience, only fifth-year nickel back Tariq Bracy a notable departure from this year’s cornerbacks group.

Note: The use of “should” is not meant to imply anything about other possibilities. The conditional verb is chosen as recognition of the constantly changing rosters in college football in 2022.

Hart took part in Notre Dame’s Senior Day festivities before facing Boston College, which suggested he was at least considering jumping to the NFL. This quick announcement indicates the injury ruled out that thought process, though the injury had plagued him at points earlier in the season.

A shoulder injury first flared up for Hart this year in the spring of 2022, costing him spring practices. A concern had previously cost him some of 2019, as he adapted from playing receiver in high school. He nonetheless played in 11 games in 2022, starting 10 and making 25 tackles with three for loss and breaking up four passes.

His passes defensed fell from nine in 2021, along with two interceptions, in part because opposing quarterbacks were less enticed to test the increasingly-experienced cornerback. His 6-foot-2 ½ length made Hart something just short of a shutdown cornerback.

With current freshman Benjamin Morrison surging to close this season and classmate Jaden Mickey stepping in for Hart at USC, Notre Dame should enjoy a plethora of tested cornerbacks in 2023. (Current junior Clarence Lewis is the aforementioned fourth.)

In many respects, this will allow the Irish defense to begin the 2023 season with the same calm it had in 2022, when Hart, Lewis and Bracy provided experienced pass defense.

“You have three older veteran corners that can really play at any moment, which makes you feel good,” head coach Marcus Freeman said in August. “Those three guys can play those two corner spots and I don’t feel there will be a drop off with any of them.”

There are a few key decisions left on Notre Dame’s defense — most notably, defensive end Justin Ademilola and safety Brandon Joseph could return in 2023 — but most of them may come after any Irish bowl game. Hart’s choice was presumably expedited by his apparent exclusion from the bowl game due to this injury.

HART CAREER STATISTICS
2020: 8 games; 3 tackles, 2 passes defended.
2021: 13 games, 10 starts; 42 tackles with four for loss, 9 passes defended and two interceptions.
2022: 11 games, 10 starts; 25 tackles with three for loss, 4 passes defended.

RELATED READING: Notre Dame 99-to-0: No. 5 Cam Hart, senior cornerback, second-year starter

Things We Learned: Notre Dame’s offensive shortcomings again highlighted by an explosive counterpart

COLLEGE FOOTBALL: NOV 26 Notre Dame at USC
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There are two ways to look at USC’s 38-27 win against Notre Dame on Saturday, and they both tie back to the Trojans’ being the best Irish measuring stick.

USC beat Notre Dame in a way that underscores how short-handed the Irish always were this season. When Trojans quarterback Caleb Williams began to cement his status as the Heisman frontrunner with a performance that will be long remembered, Notre Dame had no way to consistently counter him.

“We didn’t stop them,” Irish head coach Marcus Freeman said simply enough.

Without the offensive skill position players needed to match Williams’ explosive play for explosive play, Notre Dame needed its defense to play perfectly, clearly an unfair ask against a Lincoln Riley offense.

“USC is a great team,” Irish quarterback Drew Pyne said. “That was a really good team we played out there. They’re going to go on and do great things for the rest of their season. Caleb Williams is a great player.”

If the Irish had not had junior tight end Michael Mayer — eight catches on nine targets for 98 yards and two touchdowns — they may not have been able to stay in even vague distance of the Trojans. Three heaves to Deion Colzie gained 75 yards and three first downs, but each felt like Pyne was hoping more than anything else.

Notre Dame still made it a game, but the discrepancy in offensive playmakers stood out in Los Angeles on Saturday night.

And while both programs will undergo some turnover — most notably Mayer for the Irish; receiver Jordan Addison and running back Austin Jones will both likely be at the next level next year, among Trojans’ contributors this weekend — Notre Dame will need to close that gap to compete with USC next season.

The variance of a schedule may keep the Irish from too staunchly improving on their 8-4 record this year, but a certainty is that Williams will be ready to dazzle again in South Bend on Oct. 14, 2023.

Notre Dame right now does not have the offensive firepower to keep up with such a dynamic attack. As soon as the Irish gifted the Trojans chances to take a lead, their running game was mitigated and Notre Dame’s best hopes were reduced to Mayer and those heaves to Colzie.

Williams can dance his way through any defense, perhaps shy of Georgia’s. Even if the Irish secondary had been fully healthy, Williams’ rhythmic scrambles still would have broken down the defense. If Utah helms him in this weekend, it may be as much due to a USC letdown as it is to any Utes’ scheme. His stardom is an extreme, but this is college football in 2022, again aside from Georgia.

Many will instinctively point to Pyne’s shortcomings, ignoring how well he played in the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. He made two mistakes, yes, but one of them (the cross-body interception) came as Notre Dame was more and more desperate and the other (the fumbled exchange) was in part a result of the Irish abandoning their ground game as they fell further behind.

Pyne finished 23-of-26 for 318 yards and three touchdowns. Every version of breaking down those stats yields praise for Pyne. A reality of a loss and a reality when the opposing quarterback broke through as a national star, no time was spent in postgame press conferences discussing Pyne’s efficient night.

But it was, regardless.

His final incompletion, the interception from Notre Dame’s own red zone, also overshadowed the second-most accurate day in Irish passing history, but it was an understandable mistake. Notre Dame was trailing by two scores with only five minutes remaining. Wasting a play on a throwaway was low on Pyne’s priority list.

If Pyne had established more of a season-long rapport with Colzie, maybe he sees him down the left sideline as highlighted by Kirk Herbstreit on the broadcast. If Braden Lenzy is a bit less worn down by a season-long receiver shortage, maybe he is able to charge into Pyne’s ill-advised pass rather than try to settle in for a low catch. If … maybe, if … maybe.

Only twice this season has USC managed as few as 31 genuine points — discounting the short-field touchdown in the final three minutes courtesy of Pyne’s pick, though not all that necessary given the Trojans fell short of 40 points just twice in their first 11 games. Oregon State and Washington State had the luxuries of facing Williams before he had reached the peak of his powers with this new, transfer-obtained complement of receivers.

The Irish defense did its part against USC. Notre Dame’s offense just could not match the star of the season.

Williams will star again next year. The Irish defense will most likely still be stout. Those truths this season will carry over. Notre Dame then has to wonder only if its offense can develop and/or find more playmakers, a known need this entire season and now the pressing concern entering the offseason, a need emphasized by the Trojans’ offense, the foe that should again define 2023.